Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
978 FNUS21 KWNS 090623 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CST Sun Nov 09 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS... ...Synopsis... A broad mid-level trough will amplify over the eastern CONUS through the day today, which should result in an expansive surface high pressure area over the central CONUS. North of a surface cold front, strong surface flow (20-25 mph) is expected across portions of southern Texas. In the dry post-frontal air mass, RH is expected to be in the 15-20% range across the region, and fuels are fairly dry, so have maintained the Critical fire weather risk in this area. Surrounding the Critical risk is an Elevated highlight that covers portions of southeastern Texas and southwest Louisiana, where fuels are modestly dry due to ongoing drought. Additionally, the expansive high pressure is expected to tighten the pressure gradients in southern California, with the LAX-DAG and LAX-WJF pressure gradients nearing -5 mb during the day on Sunday. This should induce downslope flow with sustained winds of 15-25 mph with higher gusts, particularly in wind-prone gaps. With the downslope drying, RH is expected to be near 15-20%. Fine fuels in the region should dry with the lowered RH and be receptive to fire spread, so have maintained an Elevated highlight for fire weather in the area. ..Supinie.. 11/09/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$