Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
668 FNUS21 KWNS 290558 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...Synopsis... A closed mid-level low will continue to traverse the southwestern CONUS today as the remnants of Hurricane Polo become entrained within the overall flow, aiding in widespread rainfall from the Desert Southwest into the central U.S. Meanwhile, surface high pressure filtering into the Intermountain West will contribute to dry northerly flow across portions of the Sacramento Valley and southern California. Farther north, increasing westerly flow aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient across the northern Rockies/High Plains will promote breezy, downslope winds in north-central Montana. ...Sacramento Valley and Southern California... Daytime high temperatures in the 90s and RH values of 10-15% are expected as a strengthening thermal trough induces northerly winds of 10-15 mph into the Sacramento Valley. Meteorological conditions amid a drying fuelscape support an Elevated fire weather risk this afternoon. Northerly, offshore wind trajectories and RH as low as 15% will also impact southern Santa Barbara County, and the mountains and foothills of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties through the early afternoon. Wind speeds in favored terrain gaps will approach 15-20 mph with stronger gusts of 35-45 mph. Thus, Elevated highlights have been maintained for portions of southern California. ...North-Central Montana... A region of 50-60 kt mid-level zonal flow atop a tightening surface pressure gradient across the northern High Plains will contribute to dry downslope flow over portions of north-central Montana this afternoon. Westerly surface winds of 15-25 mph and minimum RH of 20-25 percent will overlap drying fuels, promoting an Elevated fire weather risk. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/29/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$