Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
820 FNUS21 KWNS 181530 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z Minor changes were made to the Elevated area over the Columbia Basin. In agreement with the latest forecast guidance, portions of the nearby Snake River over southeastern WA were added into the Elevated area. During peak heating with temperatures near to just above normal, afternoon RHs will fall to near 15% with sustained westerly winds of 10-15 mph within and adjacent to the Snake River valley through WA. Elsewhere, over the southern Plains, the forecast remains on track as previously described. Occasionally gusty diurnal winds may promote brief near-elevated conditions over portions of the Snake River Plain in ID and across the lower elevations of the southern Great Basin this afternoon as well. ..Stearns.. 08/18/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1227 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026/ ...Synopsis... Heights with the western ridge will rise again today, with warming temperatures and dry conditions across much of the Pacific Northwest. Along the northern periphery of the ridge, a shortwave passage will bring breezy conditions to areas east of the Cascades. Dry and breezy conditions will also be possible south of a frontal boundary across western Oklahoma into the Texas Panhandle. ...Portions of the Columbia Basin... A split flow regime aloft will induce west-northwesterly flow over Washington, and southwest-westerly flow over Oregon. Combined with lee surface troughing, wind speeds will increase across the Cascade Gaps. West-northwesterly surface winds of around 10-15 mph will encompass a broad area of the Columbia Basin, with stronger winds of 20-30 mph within the gaps. At peak heating, relative humidity values will decline to around 15-20 percent. Broadly elevated fire weather conditions are expected in the lee of the Cascades, with locally critical conditions possible. ...Southern Plains... Drought conditions are prominent across much of the region, expanding from the Texas Panhandle into western/central Oklahoma to produce a stressed fuel environment. Breezy and dry conditions are expected near the surface trough across the Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma. Profiles will be deeply mixed, with temperatures approaching the 100s F again this afternoon. This will support afternoon relative humidity values of 10-15% amid southwest winds of 15-20 mph, maintaining an Elevated risk area. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$