Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
270 FNUS21 KWNS 220700 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND THE FAR NORTHERN IDAHO PANHANDLE... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON AND FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OREGON... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...NORTHWEST NEVADA...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OREGON... ...Synopsis... Along the northwestern periphery of an expansive upper ridge centered on the central/southern Rockies, a robust midlevel trough and accompanying south-southwesterly jet streak will overspread the Northwest through the period. ...Dry Thunderstorms - Northern Intermountain West and northern Rockies... The 00Z observed soundings across parts of the central Great Basin show ample midlevel moisture, which will continue spreading northward across the northern Intermountain West and northern Rockies today. Diurnal heating/boundary-layer mixing beneath the moist plume will yield a broad area of weak instability by this afternoon -- characterized by inverted-V thermodynamic profiles. As midlevel height falls/forcing for ascent preceding the midlevel trough overspread this instability, isolated to scattered fast-moving thunderstorms will track northward across the region this afternoon and evening. The greatest coverage of high-based storms is expected across parts of northern WA into the northern ID Panhandle, where forcing for ascent will be strongest. While a mix of wet/dry storms is possible, the fast storm motions and dry boundary layer should limit rainfall amounts. Given very receptive fuels, the risk of lightning-induced ignitions will be maximized here. Additionally, enhanced deep-layer wind shear related to the upper-level jet will promote some strong-severe storm clusters, capable of producing severe wind gusts and hail. See the SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook for more details on the severe risk. ...Dry/Windy Conditions - Northern/Central Intermountain West... The strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow accompanying the midlevel trough will result in strong downslope flow off the Cascades and northern Sierra. This will result in a broad area of 15-20 percent afternoon RH and 15-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds. The strongest winds are expected within terrain-favored areas, such as the Columbia Basin and in the lee of the southern Cascades -- where dry/receptive fuels will support critical fire-weather conditions during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 08/22/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$