417
FNUS21 KWNS 181645
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025

Valid 181700Z - 191200Z

...Northwest Texas...
A dynamic fire weather threat is still likely across northwestern TX
this afternoon. Overnight and early morning showers and
thunderstorms aided by an upper trough traversing the Southern
Plains, produced minimal rainfall across portions of the Rolling
Plains and Cap Rock areas of TX. Wetting rains farther south near
the I-20 corridor will mitigate fire weather concerns for today. Dry
westerly flow will gradually veer to the northwest by late afternoon
ahead of an advancing cold front pushing into the TX Panhandle.
Sustained wind speeds of 15-20 mph along with relative humidity
close to 15% will support elevated fire weather conditions through
this afternoon amid moderately dry and curing fuels across portions
of the TX Panhandle and Rolling Plains. Similarly dry and breezy
conditions are expected across far western TX and eastern NM but
fuels are less supportive of fire spread.

..Williams.. 10/18/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2025/

...Synopsis...
A trough will shift into the Plains today, with a surface cold front
moving southward into the southern Plains through the day. As
forcing for ascent increases with the upper-level wave this morning,
elevated shower and thunderstorm activity will be possible across
portions of western Texas into central Oklahoma. Best chance for
wetting rainfall is expected across portions of central/eastern
Oklahoma into north-central Texas, with less forecast for portions
of the Texas Panhandle into western Oklahoma. Across this region,
Elevated fire weather concerns may emerge by the afternoon ahead of
an approaching cold front. With the frontal passage, cooler
northerly winds will usher in higher relative humidity. Should more
appreciable rainfall occur, the Elevated area may need to be
reduced.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$