Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
048
FNUS21 KWNS 161653
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Valid 161700Z - 171200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN COLORADO INTO
EASTERN UTAH...

...Great Basin...
An upward trend of dewpoints and relative humidity shown from recent
surface observations across portions of southern NV and southwestern
UT should limit fire weather threat for the area today as monsoon
moisture increases from the south. Elevated highlights remain across
east-central NV and west-central UT where breezy winds, daytime
relative humidity at or below 15 percent and dry fuels align.

Otherwise, a broad dry thunderstorm threat was maintained for much
of the Great Basin and Upper Colorado River Basin this afternoon.
More concentrated high-based thunderstorms with minimal rainfall are
expected across the Western Slope and eastern Utah where scattered
dry thunderstorm highlights remain.

..Williams.. 07/16/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025/

...Synopsis...
A departing mid-level trough will bring continued breezy conditions
across portions of southern Nevada into west-central Utah. This will
overlap with relative humidity reductions around 10-15 mph bringing
Elevated fire weather conditions. In addition to the background
flow, nearby high based convection will likely bring gusty and
erratic winds.

...Dry Thunderstorms...
A broad area of dry thunderstorms is expected across northern AZ
into western CO, UT, southern WY, and portions of eastern NV. Across
western Colorado into eastern Utah, forcing for ascent with the
upper-level trough will aid in more scattered coverage of
thunderstorm activity. Sounding profiles within this region show
elevated instability amid very dry low-levels which will promote
high based convection with efficient lightning production and little
to no measurable precipitation. Fuels within this region remain
critically dry with several ongoing fires.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$