


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
762 FNUS21 KWNS 190707 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0206 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHWESTERN NEVADA... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NEVADA...WESTERN UTAH...AND FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA... ...Synopsis... Within the base of a large-scale trough moving into the western CONUS, a swath of moderate-strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread central CA into the Great Basin today. In response, surface low pressure will deepen over the northern Great Basin and separately over the Lower CO River Valley. ...Great Basin... Deep boundary-layer mixing is expected across the Great Basin during the afternoon, with surface temperatures climbing into the 90s to 100 F and RH falling into the single digits. The deep boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, coupled with a tightening regional pressure gradient, will contribute to an expansive area of 20-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts). The greatest overlap of these strong surface winds and low RH is expected over northwestern NV and western UT into eastern NV and far northwestern AZ. Given dry/receptive fuels over these areas, critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...San Joaquin Valley and vicinity... Hot and dry conditions will combine with 15-20 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds during the afternoon into the evening. This will promote elevated fire-weather conditions where fuels are receptive to fire spread. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Large-scale forcing for ascent preceding the midlevel trough will favor isolated dry thunderstorms across parts of southeastern OR into central ID during the evening hours. However, current indications are that fuels are only modestly receptive to lightning-induced ignitions -- precluding Dry Thunderstorm highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$