


Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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203 WUUS01 KWNS 151236 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0734 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2025 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46969143 47298859 46828742 46288832 45459081 45199321 45759465 46469461 46959295 47019189 46969143 0.02 41589750 41269815 40829962 40910077 41260180 41800241 42150237 42580177 43849948 44599766 44549667 44129638 42609651 41969714 41589750 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48618889 47078621 46368612 45788741 44939103 44699243 44019444 43059558 42169631 40949690 39959772 39310140 40550395 41640575 42200751 42900910 43320988 43871211 44231306 44931275 45211226 45271057 45150615 44690374 44120280 43430270 43150215 43310159 43910096 44629989 46689599 48499125 0.15 44469868 45299736 46399496 47029308 47109172 47089040 47148869 46788820 46448846 46049035 45679226 45089455 44119641 43099789 41699913 40519984 40450106 41190191 41870196 42320162 42920104 43709992 44469868 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31271258 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912 30800917 0.05 47198381 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451 40179496 39179649 38939903 39330275 40210443 41760619 42110747 41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274 39731402 39731563 40021626 40861607 42391402 43151312 44301305 44731240 45261034 45150604 44710374 44040314 43340284 43090212 43260153 44879923 45949680 47139359 48648848 0.15 43750894 44290910 44810857 44880695 44640539 44340447 43680410 42600408 42100475 42000571 42490739 43100845 43750894 0.15 40150177 40970217 41850206 42690080 44019903 44979741 46999317 47809027 47708804 47068661 46238728 44899453 44079604 43159608 41809567 40939601 40149738 39789873 39700068 40150177 0.30 43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837 40449979 40600068 41150100 41780079 42789945 43139829 SIGN 43369848 43009751 41649788 40699849 39880050 40230132 40970154 41740130 43179919 43369848 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 41780079 42789945 43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837 40449979 40600068 41150100 41780079 SLGT 44310909 44810856 44880694 44640539 44340447 43670410 42590408 42090481 42000571 42490739 43100845 43750894 44310909 SLGT 41850206 42920104 45299736 46399496 46939335 47819025 47708805 47068661 46238728 44899453 44079604 43159608 41809567 40939601 40149738 39789873 39700068 40150177 40970217 41850206 MRGL 31301257 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912 30820917 MRGL 47008429 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451 40179496 39179649 38939903 39330275 40210443 41760619 42110747 41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274 39731402 39731563 40021626 40861607 42391402 43151314 44301305 44931275 45211226 45271057 45150609 44700372 44120280 43430270 43160214 43310160 43910097 44659985 46689599 48499125 TSTM 28099529 29309741 30019866 29839933 29529993 28549995 27379983 99999999 38439846 38250042 37540211 35820310 34210362 32320466 31570499 30930497 30830443 31440320 32700179 33640003 35149804 35599744 37469509 37939478 38469624 38439846 99999999 46078298 44748572 44248814 43568945 42989012 42328991 42228888 42238715 42188577 42138415 41238181 40937921 41117542 41347376 41347241 41216916 99999999 31431289 32421262 33111238 33731225 34191247 35151302 36481360 38221311 39111371 39211469 38641641 38281770 38411807 38881831 39741811 40541739 42071629 43181447 44371508 45021512 45391542 45671583 45991622 46661646 47291613 48041537 48551432 48651301 48541148 48361033 48330603 48660244 48199768 48609410 49609250 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE MHN 30 ENE ANW 45 SSW MHE 15 SW YKN 30 WNW OLU GRI 45 ENE MCK 30 N MCK 15 W LBF 25 SE MHN. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW COD 30 NE COD 10 NNE SHR 20 NNE GCC 50 E GCC 60 WSW RAP 35 N TOR 35 W TOR 45 N LAR 50 NNW RWL RIW 50 WSW WRL 15 SSW COD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE AIA 25 W VTN 30 NNW ATY 40 W BRD 40 SW HIB GNA 40 NNE CMX 60 NE MQT 25 SE MQT 35 NE RWF 35 NW OTG 45 SW OTG 20 SW DNS 25 SSW OMA 35 WSW BIE 60 SSW HSI 35 S MCK 25 SSW IML 40 NW IML 40 ESE AIA. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 WSW TUS 30 ESE GBN 20 SE PHX 65 SW SOW 30 NNE SAD 50 NNE DUG 50 SSE DUG. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N ANJ 25 WSW ESC 15 S EAU 10 WNW MCW 45 E DNS 30 N STJ 10 ENE MHK 10 WNW RSL 25 WNW ITR 35 ESE FCL 40 NW LAR 25 NNW RWL 45 ENE RKS 15 SE VEL 30 SSW PUC 20 NE MLF 55 NE ELY 25 NE P68 40 NNW P68 15 W EKO 15 SW BYI 30 WNW PIH 40 WSW MQM 25 SSW DLN 15 E DLN 30 S LVM 40 WSW 4BQ 55 NW RAP 15 ENE RAP 45 NNE CDR 55 ENE CDR 50 S PHP 35 ESE PHP 30 NE PIR 10 SSW DTL 50 NE ELO. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S LBX 45 NW VCT 35 NNW SAT 35 NNW HDO 45 WNW HDO 45 W COT 25 WSW LRD ...CONT... 35 SSE RSL 25 NE GCK 35 ENE SPD 35 WSW DHT 20 SW CVS 25 W CNM 20 SSW GDP 65 S GDP 40 NW MRF 25 S INK 40 NNW BGS 55 SSE CDS CHK 15 NE OKC 25 SE CNU 40 ENE CNU 10 NNW EMP 35 SSE RSL ...CONT... 70 ESE ANJ TVC 15 S GRB 30 NNW MSN 15 S LNR 40 E DBQ 10 E RFD 40 W BEH 10 WSW AZO 20 ESE JXN 15 S CLE 25 SW DUJ 20 SE AVP 20 SSE POU 20 W GON 45 E ACK ...CONT... 105 S GBN 35 S GBN 20 NE GBN 25 NNW PHX 30 S PRC 50 NW PRC 40 S SGU 15 SSW MLF 60 NW MLF 10 SE ELY 55 NE TPH 35 WNW TPH 60 WNW TPH 50 SSE NFL 35 SE LOL 30 W BAM 10 NW OWY 25 SSW SUN 60 SE MYL 50 ENE MYL 50 NE MYL 35 SSW P69 30 WSW P69 30 E PUW 40 WSW 3TH 30 N 3TH 15 N GPI 30 W CTB 40 E CTB 30 WSW HVR 25 NW OLF 60 WNW MOT 30 NW GFK 30 W INL 80 NNE INL.