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Probabilistic Outlook Points
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518
WUUS01 KWNS 212002
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026

VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   42699075 43369011 43508969 43278875 42708771 41638771
       40588824 40208919 40039015 40199100 40669154 41759140
       42699075
0.02   41720224 42420269 42900259 43020156 42499984 42149876
       41859851 41329910 41160029 41400170 41720224
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   32337819 33728140 34618236 35378239 36208200 36888046
       37007790 36487518
0.05   43740069 42809787 41879620 40959453 40939334 41339227
       41979142 42409126 42969109 43619057 44948867 45308783
       45078715 43148732 41488708 40588755 39828838 39268952
       39069222 38919329 38289564 38219822 38520118 38760183
       39400245 40350323 41460382 42280384 43120380 44050370
       44340277 43740069
0.15   40330162 41780260 43520329 43770267 43460153 42499878
       41909735 41469634 40979589 40339572 39329635 39199695
       39209805 39390002 39590099 40330162
0.15   41619109 42659077 43289007 43198945 42908878 42748780
       41718751 41208753 40788783 40458830 39989008 40039078
       40159119 40659147 41619109
CIG1   42809915 41849669 41449595 41019564 40369546 40029573
       39529726 39330146 39880226 40880308 42200346 43710348
       43940277 42809915
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   41528620 40638677 40068751 39088868 38709032 39049222
       38899330 38089428 37419542 37269644 37329731 38039967
       38120075 38290163 38770288 41460407 43190392 44050370
       44340277 44100191 42799787 41859615 40949450 40949333
       41359227 41959144 42549121 43009108 43649056 44948869
       45308785 45038696 44468638 42518570 41528620
0.05   28448009 28368074 28518101 28858124 30478181 30898211
       30968251 29868839 29348962 29089078 29289200 29769329
       29939427 30389496 32619743 33179774 33619751 33849698
       33539401 32959316 32339217 32209085 32438839 32838550
       33078456 33458393 33988351 35028327 35618295 36238198
       36888047 37007783 36487516
0.05   39781570 40021696 40761729 42861780 43821712 44101617
       44141424 43901212 43371164 40251203 39781258 39511348
       39781570
0.15   33158219 35128114 35738007 36057911 36007780 35637699
       35177693 34977706 34597785 34127873 33527988 32758050
       32508157 33158219
0.15   41749107 42659079 43299010 43228947 42918878 42688751
       41498711 41098740 40448827 39999005 40039076 40159119
       40669146 41749107
0.15   42339928 41269715 40639632 39889603 39269638 38989689
       38839754 39110007 39580099 40350163 41150216 41770260
       42100264 42590231 42770142 42339928
0.15   29589077 30559371 31019496 31809552 32439521 32569456
       32129352 31739189 31818877 31858749 31408697 30788705
       30388738 30328806 30228930 29619023 29589077
CIG1   41109765 40189670 39319604 38579566 37959554 37629576
       37639668 37859774 38349959 38640159 39160227 39950282
       41830351 43400327 43740271 43390097 42789943 41879840
       41109765
CIG1   39801571 40041694 40751728 42861778 43821712 44081619
       44131426 43881213 43341167 40251203 39771262 39531350
       39801571
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   32439521 32569456 32129352 31739189 31858749 31408697
       30788705 30388738 30228930 29619023 29589077 31019496
       31809552 32439521
SLGT   35128114 35738007 36057911 36007780 35637699 35177693
       34977706 33527988 32758050 32508157 33158219 35128114
SLGT   43770267 43460153 42499878 41909735 41469634 40979589
       40339572 39269638 38989689 38839754 39110007 39580099
       40330162 41770260 43520329 43770267
SLGT   42659079 43299010 43228947 42918878 42688751 41498711
       41098740 40448827 39989008 40039078 40159119 40659147
       42659079
MRGL   28448009 28368074 28518101 28858124 30478181 30898211
       30968251 29868839 29348962 29089078 29289200 29769329
       29939427 30389496 32619743 33179774 33619751 33849698
       33539401 32339217 32209085 32438839 32838550 33078456
       33458393 33988351 35028327 35618295 36238198 36888047
       37007783 36487517
MRGL   43190392 44050370 44340277 43740069 42809787 40959452
       40949333 41359227 41969144 43009108 43649056 44948869
       45308785 45038696 44468638 42518570 41528620 40638677
       39088868 38709032 39049222 38899330 38089428 37419542
       37269644 37329731 38039967 38120075 38290163 38770288
       41460407 43190392
MRGL   43821712 44101617 44141424 43901212 43371164 40251203
       39781258 39511348 39781570 40021696 40761729 42861780
       43821712
TSTM   37608713 37498851 37708991 38179074 38289131 38159231
       37759364 37369396 36869407 36539380 36369320 35979244
       35539208 35089202 34159248 33879228 33559202 33359152
       33289107 33409057 33599028 34418970 34738908 34898837
       34958772 35358719 36238686 37138666 37418663 37598688
       37608713 99999999 32281691 33841712 34501703 35341665
       35931626 36581625 37201656 38081845 38511871 39301884
       39911887 43881843 44631732 45701404 45841240 45281091
       44670917 44310837 43810769 43100714 42940653 43120576
       43450518 44530481 44920420 45000290 44690105 44269923
       43299659 42369518 42089452 42199377 42659297 43659182
       44579099 45179064 45639074 45959103 45959143 45849209
       45489316 45489401 45529546 45489725 45960009 46440105
       46890122 47180094 47129982 46919845 46809735 46839686
       47089629 47579616 48019675 48459759 48979853 49579941
       99999999 43228010 42208060 40818188 40188261 39658279
       39308264 39068215 39268128 39758032 39967930 39867797
       39307587 38857432 99999999 28649497 29369577 30819678
       32259880 33000040 32670285 32010664 31480749 99999999
       49422034 48592046 47302056 45822048 43872056 43402060
       43142094 43042134 43062188 43252218 44022233 45622225
       46302248 46712329 47022408 47732445 48052430 48202382
       48102313 47902296 47292320 47002288 47102235 47572213
       49492272

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10
ENE TYR 15 NE GGG 30 SE SHV 35 NE ESF 40 NW GZH  0 - GZH 25 NNE
PNS 15 WSW PNS 20 SW GPT 25 S MSY  0 - HUM 20 SW LFK 40 S TYR 10
ENE TYR

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15
WSW CLT 25 SSW GSO 25 NW RDU 10 NNE RWI 40 N EWN 10 NE EWN  0 -
EWN 45 NNE CHS 30 WSW CHS 35 NW SAV 20 SW AGS 15 WSW CLT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
SE RAP 40 S PHP  0 - ONL  0 - OFK 25 SSW TQE 25 S OMA 20 NNW FNB
20 ENE MHK 15 SW MHK  0 - SLN 25 SW HLC 50 SSW MCK 15 S IML 20 SSE
AIA 40 SSW RAP 25 SE RAP

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
NNW DBQ  0 - LNR 10 NW MSN 25 NNE JVL 15 ESE RAC  0 - VPZ 30 SW
VPZ 30 N CMI 25 WNW SPI 25 ENE UIN 15 N UIN 20 WSW BRL 20 NNW DBQ

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 NE MLB 20 NNW MLB 20 E ORL 20 NNE ORL 10 WSW JAX 30 SE AYS 20
SSW AYS 55 S MOB 15 W BVE 35 S HUM 35 SSE 7R4 25 S LCH 15 W BPT 40
SE UTS 15 SSW FTW 30 NW FTW 55 N FTW 20 WNW GYI  0 - TXK 15 SSW
MLU 50 NNE HEZ 20 ENE MEI 15 NNW AUO 30 E LGC 30 ESE ATL 10 WNW
AHN 50 NW AND 20 SSW HSS 30 SE TRI 20 SE PSK 25 NNE AVC 60 ENE ECG

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 WNW CDR 30 W RAP 25 NE RAP 50 SSW PIR 25 WSW YKN 40 NW LWD 25
SSW OXV 20 NNE OTM 15 ENE CID 45 NNW DBQ 25 SW VOK 40 NW GRB 40
SSE IMT 50 S ESC 15 NNW MBL 20 NNW AZO 15 SSE SBN 15 NNE LAF 35
NNE SLO  0 - STL 15 N COU 20 NE SZL 60 SSE OJC 20 S CNU 40 NW BVO
25 SSE ICT 25 NE DDC 15 N GCK 55 WNW GCK 50 NNW LAA 40 S TOR 50
WNW CDR

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 WNW BOI 35 N BOI 45 N SUN 25 N IDA 25 ESE IDA 35 S SLC 30 N U24
55 SSW DPG 25 NE P68 40 S BAM 25 WNW BAM 20 N REO 50 WNW BOI

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE OWB 30 NNE
PAH 30 E FAM 30 NNW FAM 25 ENE VIH 30 NNW TBN 40 NNW SGF 35 N UMN
10 W UMN 25 SSE UMN  0 - HRO 15 S FLP 30 WSW BVX 30 NNE LIT 30 W
PBF 30 SW PBF 15 WSW LLQ 25 SSE LLQ 15 SSW GLH 25 ESE GLH 15 WNW
GWO 10 WNW UOX 35 NNW TUP 50 NNE TUP 15 NNW MSL 50 NNE MSL 10 NW
BNA 15 NW BWG 35 NNW BWG 20 ESE OWB 10 SSE OWB ...CONT... 35 SSE
SAN 20 ESE RAL 30 SSW DAG 35 NNE DAG 55 SSW DRA 15 WSW DRA 50 NW
DRA 50 N BIH 70 S NFL 15 SSW NFL 20 SW LOL 30 NE BNO 30 ESE BKE 40
N SMN 10 SSE BTM 35 SSE BZN 15 NW COD 30 NW WRL 20 SE WRL 35 WNW
CPR  0 - CPR 30 NW DGW 50 N DGW 40 ENE GCC 55 SW 2WX 50 SE 2WX 45
WNW PIR 35 N 9V9 20 SSE FSD 15 S SLB 35 SSW FOD 35 SE FOD 30 WNW
ALO 35 WSW LSE 30 SE EAU 45 ENE EAU 65 S ASX 40 S ASX 45 SSW ASX
70 S DLH 40 N MSP  0 - STC 25 S AXN 40 N ATY 35 NNE MBG 25 SSW BIS
25 WNW BIS 30 NNW BIS 50 ENE BIS 10 E JMS 25 WSW FAR  0 - FAR 25
NW DTL 35 S TVF 20 ENE GFK 40 NNW GFK 60 NNE DVL 105 NNW DVL
...CONT... 80 N ERI 25 WNW ERI 25 WSW CAK 20 NE CMH 25 S CMH 25
WNW UNI 10 SSE UNI 10 SE PKB 20 WNW MGW 25 SSE LBE 15 NW HGR 25
WNW DOV 45 SSE ACY ...CONT... 45 SE LBX 25 NW LBX 30 WNW CLL 30
NNE BWD 60 NW ABI 20 E HOB 20 NW ELP 55 SSE DMN ...CONT... 75 NNW
OMK 45 WNW OMK 20 WSW EAT 35 ENE DLS 40 SE RDM 65 SSE RDM 70 NNW
LKV 65 NNE LMT 65 N LMT 70 NNE MFR 45 E EUG 15 E PDX 50 N PDX 25
SW OLM 10 WNW HQM 15 SSE UIL 15 ENE UIL 15 WNW CLM 15 E CLM 30 ESE
CLM 25 NNW OLM  0 - OLM 25 S SEA 10 NE SEA 50 N BLI