348
WUUS01 KWNS 171619
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025

VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40510255 39540210 38720164 38769954 39729729 40039640
       40489477 40529345 40339256 39669234 38159227 36639229
       35499359 35259532 35519805 35520033 35830198 36290315
       37360458 38210503 39270520 39940477 40570366 40510255
0.02   36977608 36697640 36687670 36967724 37707810 38477864
       39137855 39557833 39787780 39687713 39277674 38377613
       37777596 37307596 36977608
0.05   36840114 37670065 38559916 38729801 38949605 38449477
       38139410 37079354 36209463 35799598 36069942 36220044
       36840114
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40388859 39548910 38489020 36609193 35459311 34609496
       34389687 34429780 33220102 33910134 34870139 35940340
       37130472 38060531 39640568 40090582 41210633 42440648
       43320612 44040517 44430434 44430358 44340272 44040195
       43660109 43389972 43279787 43379533 43439448 43709197
       43898978 43768841 43308777 42748769 42278770 40678845
       40388859
0.15   42670324 40950203 39520206 38780150 38809936 40199573
       41329331 41239181 40949106 38059198 36939352 35809533
       34949727 35129934 36310309 37390448 38130521 40250564
       41470556 42390530 42730466 42730447 42670324
0.30   36769617 36020024 36190118 36800134 37840066 38649895
       39099682 38969532 38649515 37609509 36769617
SIGN   36079958 36320304 37410452 38330504 39720529 40180499
       39850351 38940287 38530155 38649902 39089738 38949539
       38609522 37789519 36759618 36359782 36079958
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36637640 36617831 36188014 35158250 32138551 31328671
       30948840 31088934 31699031 32539033 33978967 35248879
       37278607 39068325 40248148 40968013 41097893 41077813
       40807742 40387685 39937657 38987615 38257583 37407575
       36907591 36637640
0.05   44320268 44060195 43630105 43379968 43289782 43389492
       43769134 43888965 43778840 43318780 42768767 42248772
       40728841 39538910 36189230 35429313 34969406 34619501
       34379670 34399766 33230096 33800130 34920137 35960340
       37130471 38060531 40120584 41230635 42430649 43310614
       44070513 44430433 44430361 44320268
0.15   42740466 42620319 40920203 39550199 38750161 38739979
       40229576 41329331 41229170 40959116 39719143 37989201
       36939266 36069331 35279502 34949723 35109931 35860207
       36320304 36920385 37390449 38100484 40380551 41430554
       42350533 42740466
0.30   39089601 38679410 37799341 36879352 35779527 35739700
       35690005 36250124 36690133 37700079 38709903 39009744
       39089601
0.45   38149879 38089713 37659543 36849498 36209573 35999682
       36149950 36810074 37730005 38149879
SIGN   39009747 39099609 38909507 38809464 38649403 37799341
       36939348 35779527 35629713 35599911 35670024 36280119
       36710137 37670079 38579931 39009747
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    37469523 36889503 36209572 36009672 36179942 36820071
       37610020 38119886 38089697 37759571 37469523
ENH    37759340 36969346 35799526 35739764 35659993 36270124
       36730133 37720078 38699888 39109677 38969526 38639403
       37759340
SLGT   39679145 37999201 36939266 35999335 35329490 34979724
       35109932 35900198 36320304 36870377 37420456 38120519
       40230565 41460556 42380531 42740467 42640316 40960203
       39570207 38740157 38809955 40199576 41299327 41239181
       40949113 39679145
MRGL   34619501 34409674 34389780 33210104 33860130 34880135
       35950340 37130471 38050531 40140585 41260635 42430649
       43310614 44080512 44430433 44440361 44330271 44070197
       43640106 43379968 43289783 43389489 43888965 43778841
       43318780 42768767 42248772 40698842 39538910 36199230
       35449312 34969406 34619501
MRGL   39927657 38247582 37397577 36907590 36637640 36617831
       36188014 35158251 33348435 32158550 31328671 30948837
       31088935 31709031 32569032 34018965 35248879 37348597
       39088321 40248148 40968014 41097892 41077813 40797741
       40377684 39927657
TSTM   43827950 42517789 40637568 38277463 99999999 29568063
       27338068 26048060 25477975 99999999 28479512 30199554
       30799525 32499312 33249359 33619469 33469700 32729812
       32109842 30770095 30260160 29120254 99999999 29480483
       31120413 32740255 34940206 35430245 36010355 37470540
       38890682 39670768 41610880 43161049 44741168 46481216
       47881184 49371274 99999999 49800185 49320180 48040429
       46870644 46570584 46590209 46619954 47899627 48039422
       47399279 46709229 46079301 45219475 44739377 44579145
       44438849 44658544 45748397 46728319

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
CNU 25 NW GMJ 10 E TUL 20 NNE CQB 60 SW AVK 20 SE LBL 15 SW DDC 50 S
RSL 40 NE ICT 15 WNW CNU 20 SE CNU.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N
SGF 20 SSW SGF 10 NE MKO 25 N OKC 45 WNW CSM 30 SSE GUY 10 ENE GUY
15 SSW GCK 10 SSW RSL MHK 20 ESE TOP 25 WSW SZL 35 N SGF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW
UIN 15 SW VIH 45 ESE SGF 20 SSW HRO 25 NW RKR 35 SE OKC 15 SSW CSM
35 ESE DHT 10 SE CAO 40 SE TAD 15 NW TAD 40 WSW PUB 35 WSW FCL 10
NNE LAR 25 S DGW 35 E DGW 15 SSW CDR 35 NW IML 25 NW GLD 45 S GLD 40
W RSL 10 NW FNB 10 W OXV 35 ENE OTM 10 N BRL 25 SW UIN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW
RKR 15 ENE ADM 40 ESE FSI 55 SE LBB 30 SE PVW 30 SE AMA 35 SSW CAO
25 WSW TAD 45 WSW PUB 50 WSW FCL 35 W LAR 30 S CPR 35 NNE CPR 30 SE
GCC 60 E GCC 40 NW RAP 25 NE RAP 20 W PHP 40 SE PHP 35 SSW 9V9 35 NW
YKN 20 NE SPW 30 E VOK 15 SSE OSH 25 N MKE RAC 35 S RAC 30 ENE BMI
25 SSW DEC 10 E FLP 15 N RUE 30 SE FSM 35 SW RKR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
CXY 20 WSW SBY 40 SSW WAL 15 E ORF 20 SSW ORF 15 WSW AVC 15 WNW GSO
20 S AVL 20 SSE ATL 30 S AUO 20 ESE GZH 20 NNW MOB 25 S PIB 35 NNE
MCB 65 SSW GWO 25 SSW UOX 25 SSE MKL 35 NE BWG 55 W UNI 30 NE ZZV 30
N PIT DUJ 20 NW UNV 25 E UNV 10 N CXY 25 SE CXY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NNW BUF 45 SSW ROC
15 W ABE 45 E SBY ...CONT... 35 NE DAB 25 SW VRB 25 NW MIA 40 SE MIA
...CONT... 50 SSE LBX 35 S UTS 15 ENE UTS 40 E SHV 25 ESE TXK 35 SSW
DEQ 25 SW GYI MWL 15 WSW SEP 50 SSW SJT 40 ENE 6R6 65 SSW 6R6
...CONT... 80 SW MRF 50 N MRF 40 E HOB 25 SW AMA 40 S DHT 40 SW CAO
25 E ALS 25 S ASE 40 W EGE 15 E RKS 35 SSE JAC 30 W WEY 10 SW HLN 35
NW GTF 55 NNW CTB ...CONT... 110 NNW MOT 75 NNW MOT 25 N SDY 40 NW
MLS 10 NNE MLS 35 ESE DIK 45 WSW JMS 15 SSW TVF 50 NE BJI HIB 10 SSW
DLH 60 ESE BRD 40 SW STC 30 WSW MSP 20 S EAU 20 W GRB 10 SE TVC 40
ENE PLN 60 ENE ANJ.