Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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203
WUUS01 KWNS 151236
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0734 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2025

VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   46969143 47298859 46828742 46288832 45459081 45199321
       45759465 46469461 46959295 47019189 46969143
0.02   41589750 41269815 40829962 40910077 41260180 41800241
       42150237 42580177 43849948 44599766 44549667 44129638
       42609651 41969714 41589750
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48618889 47078621 46368612 45788741 44939103 44699243
       44019444 43059558 42169631 40949690 39959772 39310140
       40550395 41640575 42200751 42900910 43320988 43871211
       44231306 44931275 45211226 45271057 45150615 44690374
       44120280 43430270 43150215 43310159 43910096 44629989
       46689599 48499125
0.15   44469868 45299736 46399496 47029308 47109172 47089040
       47148869 46788820 46448846 46049035 45679226 45089455
       44119641 43099789 41699913 40519984 40450106 41190191
       41870196 42320162 42920104 43709992 44469868
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31271258 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912
       30800917
0.05   47198381 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451 40179496
       39179649 38939903 39330275 40210443 41760619 42110747
       41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274 39731402 39731563
       40021626 40861607 42391402 43151312 44301305 44731240
       45261034 45150604 44710374 44040314 43340284 43090212
       43260153 44879923 45949680 47139359 48648848
0.15   43750894 44290910 44810857 44880695 44640539 44340447
       43680410 42600408 42100475 42000571 42490739 43100845
       43750894
0.15   40150177 40970217 41850206 42690080 44019903 44979741
       46999317 47809027 47708804 47068661 46238728 44899453
       44079604 43159608 41809567 40939601 40149738 39789873
       39700068 40150177
0.30   43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837 40449979 40600068
       41150100 41780079 42789945 43139829
SIGN   43369848 43009751 41649788 40699849 39880050 40230132
       40970154 41740130 43179919 43369848
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41780079 42789945 43139829 42789759 41619788 40929837
       40449979 40600068 41150100 41780079
SLGT   44310909 44810856 44880694 44640539 44340447 43670410
       42590408 42090481 42000571 42490739 43100845 43750894
       44310909
SLGT   41850206 42920104 45299736 46399496 46939335 47819025
       47708805 47068661 46238728 44899453 44079604 43159608
       41809567 40939601 40149738 39789873 39700068 40150177
       40970217 41850206
MRGL   31301257 32831223 33261177 33501066 33250944 32090912
       30820917
MRGL   47008429 45638758 44649142 43229354 41899451 40179496
       39179649 38939903 39330275 40210443 41760619 42110747
       41930835 40250930 39201087 38641274 39731402 39731563
       40021626 40861607 42391402 43151314 44301305 44931275
       45211226 45271057 45150609 44700372 44120280 43430270
       43160214 43310160 43910097 44659985 46689599 48499125
TSTM   28099529 29309741 30019866 29839933 29529993 28549995
       27379983 99999999 38439846 38250042 37540211 35820310
       34210362 32320466 31570499 30930497 30830443 31440320
       32700179 33640003 35149804 35599744 37469509 37939478
       38469624 38439846 99999999 46078298 44748572 44248814
       43568945 42989012 42328991 42228888 42238715 42188577
       42138415 41238181 40937921 41117542 41347376 41347241
       41216916 99999999 31431289 32421262 33111238 33731225
       34191247 35151302 36481360 38221311 39111371 39211469
       38641641 38281770 38411807 38881831 39741811 40541739
       42071629 43181447 44371508 45021512 45391542 45671583
       45991622 46661646 47291613 48041537 48551432 48651301
       48541148 48361033 48330603 48660244 48199768 48609410
       49609250

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
MHN 30 ENE ANW 45 SSW MHE 15 SW YKN 30 WNW OLU GRI 45 ENE MCK 30 N
MCK 15 W LBF 25 SE MHN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW
COD 30 NE COD 10 NNE SHR 20 NNE GCC 50 E GCC 60 WSW RAP 35 N TOR 35
W TOR 45 N LAR 50 NNW RWL RIW 50 WSW WRL 15 SSW COD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
AIA 25 W VTN 30 NNW ATY 40 W BRD 40 SW HIB GNA 40 NNE CMX 60 NE MQT
25 SE MQT 35 NE RWF 35 NW OTG 45 SW OTG 20 SW DNS 25 SSW OMA 35 WSW
BIE 60 SSW HSI 35 S MCK 25 SSW IML 40 NW IML 40 ESE AIA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110
WSW TUS 30 ESE GBN 20 SE PHX 65 SW SOW 30 NNE SAD 50 NNE DUG 50 SSE
DUG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N
ANJ 25 WSW ESC 15 S EAU 10 WNW MCW 45 E DNS 30 N STJ 10 ENE MHK 10
WNW RSL 25 WNW ITR 35 ESE FCL 40 NW LAR 25 NNW RWL 45 ENE RKS 15 SE
VEL 30 SSW PUC 20 NE MLF 55 NE ELY 25 NE P68 40 NNW P68 15 W EKO 15
SW BYI 30 WNW PIH 40 WSW MQM 25 SSW DLN 15 E DLN 30 S LVM 40 WSW 4BQ
55 NW RAP 15 ENE RAP 45 NNE CDR 55 ENE CDR 50 S PHP 35 ESE PHP 30 NE
PIR 10 SSW DTL 50 NE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S LBX 45 NW VCT 35
NNW SAT 35 NNW HDO 45 WNW HDO 45 W COT 25 WSW LRD ...CONT... 35 SSE
RSL 25 NE GCK 35 ENE SPD 35 WSW DHT 20 SW CVS 25 W CNM 20 SSW GDP 65
S GDP 40 NW MRF 25 S INK 40 NNW BGS 55 SSE CDS CHK 15 NE OKC 25 SE
CNU 40 ENE CNU 10 NNW EMP 35 SSE RSL ...CONT... 70 ESE ANJ TVC 15 S
GRB 30 NNW MSN 15 S LNR 40 E DBQ 10 E RFD 40 W BEH 10 WSW AZO 20 ESE
JXN 15 S CLE 25 SW DUJ 20 SE AVP 20 SSE POU 20 W GON 45 E ACK
...CONT... 105 S GBN 35 S GBN 20 NE GBN 25 NNW PHX 30 S PRC 50 NW
PRC 40 S SGU 15 SSW MLF 60 NW MLF 10 SE ELY 55 NE TPH 35 WNW TPH 60
WNW TPH 50 SSE NFL 35 SE LOL 30 W BAM 10 NW OWY 25 SSW SUN 60 SE MYL
50 ENE MYL 50 NE MYL 35 SSW P69 30 WSW P69 30 E PUW 40 WSW 3TH 30 N
3TH 15 N GPI 30 W CTB 40 E CTB 30 WSW HVR 25 NW OLF 60 WNW MOT 30 NW
GFK 30 W INL 80 NNE INL.