Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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386
WUUS01 KWNS 172001
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025

VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40510255 39540210 37810173 37850061 38959864 39579563
       40499464 40529345 40339256 39669234 38159227 36639229
       35499359 35259532 35089904 35410027 35830198 36290315
       37040449 37720523 38310551 39380568 39880482 40570366
       40510255
0.02   36977608 36697640 36687670 36967724 37707810 38477864
       39137855 39557833 39787780 39687713 39277674 38377613
       37777596 37307596 36977608
0.05   36840114 37670028 38319886 38579548 38139415 37079354
       36209463 35799598 36069942 36220044 36840114
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40388859 39548910 38489020 36609193 35459311 34609496
       34389687 34429780 33220102 33910134 34890133 35940340
       37130472 38060531 39640568 40590595 41300606 42470598
       43340561 44040517 44430434 44430358 44340272 44040195
       43660109 43389972 43279787 43379533 43439448 43709197
       43898978 43768841 43308777 42748769 42278770 40678845
       40388859
0.15   42670324 40950203 39520206 37980183 37940040 38819907
       40199573 41329331 41239181 40949106 38059198 36939352
       35509528 34949727 35129934 36310309 37390448 38130521
       40250564 41470556 42390530 42730466 42730447 42670324
0.30   36769617 35719988 36190118 36810131 37660028 38569898
       38809769 38879522 38649515 37609509 36769617
SIGN   36209799 35339861 35209951 35510048 36260298 37410452
       38120518 39890555 40180499 39850351 38940287 37920173
       37940039 38659877 38869758 38819511 37789519 36759618
       36209799
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36637640 36617831 36188014 35158250 32138551 31328671
       30948840 31088934 31739033 32299034 35208783 37098624
       37278607 39068325 40248148 40968013 41097893 41077813
       40807742 40387685 39937657 38987615 38257583 37407575
       36907591 36637640
0.05   44320268 44060195 43630105 43379968 43289782 43389492
       43769134 43888965 43778840 43318780 42768767 42248772
       40728841 39538910 36189230 35429313 34969406 34619501
       34379670 34399766 33230096 33800130 34920137 35960340
       37080460 38060531 40120584 41270610 42520593 43490552
       44070513 44430433 44430361 44320268
0.15   42740466 42620319 40920203 38780196 37980181 37970037
       38919900 40229576 41329331 41229170 40959116 39719143
       37989201 36939266 36069331 35279502 34949723 35109931
       35860207 36320304 36920385 37390449 38430527 40380551
       41430554 42350533 42740466
0.30   38849660 38679410 37799341 36879352 35779527 35739700
       35690005 36250124 36720133 37720020 38479902 38759790
       38849660
0.45   37340011 38039884 38099709 37729572 37479521 36849498
       36209573 35999682 36149946 36810073 37340011
SIGN   36750134 37480049 38509902 38789776 38809606 38789515
       38749453 38649403 37799341 36939348 35779527 35639703
       35609903 35670024 36280119 36750134
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    37469523 36889503 36209572 36009672 36179942 36820071
       37350008 38019884 38089697 37759571 37469523
ENH    37759340 36969346 35799526 35739764 35659993 36270124
       36730133 37720024 38509898 38749786 38849530 38639403
       37759340
SLGT   39679145 37999201 36939266 35999335 35329490 34979724
       35109932 35900198 36320304 36870377 37420456 38120519
       40230565 41460556 42380531 42740467 42640316 40960203
       38810195 37920178 37940040 38839894 40199576 41299327
       41239181 40949113 39679145
MRGL   34619501 34409674 34389780 33210104 33860130 34880135
       35950340 37170470 38050531 40140585 41310607 42440601
       43320565 44080512 44430433 44440361 44330271 44070197
       43640106 43379968 43289783 43389489 43888965 43778841
       43318780 42768767 42248772 40698842 39538910 36199230
       35449312 34969406 34619501
MRGL   39927657 38247582 37397577 36907590 36637640 36617831
       36188014 35158251 33348435 32158550 31328671 30948837
       31088935 31709031 32259034 34008886 37298606 39088321
       40248148 40968014 41097892 41077813 40797741 40377684
       39927657
TSTM   29480483 31120413 32740255 34940206 35300240 35870350
       37470540 38890682 39670768 41610880 43161049 44741168
       46481216 47881184 49371274 99999999 49800185 49320180
       48040429 46870644 46570584 46590209 46619954 47899627
       48039422 47399279 46709229 46079301 45219475 44739377
       44579145 44438849 44658544 45748397 46728319 99999999
       43827950 42517789 40637568 38277463 99999999 29568063
       27338068 26048060 25477975 99999999 28479512 30199554
       30799525 32499377 33529399 33789534 33469700 32729812
       32109842 30770095 30260160 29120254

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
CNU 25 NW GMJ 10 E TUL 20 NNE CQB 60 SW AVK 20 SE LBL 30 SSW DDC 50
NNW P28 40 NE ICT 15 WNW CNU 20 SE CNU.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N
SGF 20 SSW SGF 10 NE MKO 25 N OKC 45 WNW CSM 30 SSE GUY 10 ENE GUY
15 WSW DDC 25 SSW RSL 10 WSW SLN 25 SE TOP 25 WSW SZL 35 N SGF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW
UIN 15 SW VIH 45 ESE SGF 20 SSW HRO 25 NW RKR 35 SE OKC 15 SSW CSM
35 ESE DHT 10 SE CAO 40 SE TAD 15 NW TAD 40 WSW PUB 35 WSW FCL 10
NNE LAR 25 S DGW 35 E DGW 15 SSW CDR 35 NW IML 35 SSE ITR 50 ESE LAA
15 E GCK RSL 10 NW FNB 10 W OXV 35 ENE OTM 10 N BRL 25 SW UIN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW
RKR 15 ENE ADM 40 ESE FSI 55 SE LBB 30 SE PVW 30 SE AMA 35 SSW CAO
20 WSW TAD 45 WSW PUB 50 WSW FCL 20 W LAR 40 WSW DGW 40 NNW DGW 30
SE GCC 60 E GCC 40 NW RAP 25 NE RAP 20 W PHP 40 SE PHP 35 SSW 9V9 35
NW YKN 20 NE SPW 30 E VOK 15 SSE OSH 25 N MKE RAC 35 S RAC 30 ENE
BMI 25 SSW DEC 10 E FLP 15 N RUE 30 SE FSM 35 SW RKR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
CXY 20 WSW SBY 40 SSW WAL 15 E ORF 20 SSW ORF 15 WSW AVC 15 WNW GSO
20 S AVL 20 SSE ATL 30 S AUO 20 ESE GZH 20 NNW MOB 25 S PIB 35 NNE
MCB 70 NE HEZ 20 SSW TUP 30 NE BWG 55 W UNI 30 NE ZZV 30 N PIT DUJ
20 NW UNV 25 E UNV 10 N CXY 25 SE CXY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW MRF 50 N MRF 40
E HOB 25 SW AMA 40 W AMA 45 SSW CAO 25 E ALS 25 S ASE 40 W EGE 15 E
RKS 35 SSE JAC 30 W WEY 10 SW HLN 35 NW GTF 55 NNW CTB ...CONT...
110 NNW MOT 75 NNW MOT 25 N SDY 40 NW MLS 10 NNE MLS 35 ESE DIK 45
WSW JMS 15 SSW TVF 50 NE BJI HIB 10 SSW DLH 60 ESE BRD 40 SW STC 30
WSW MSP 20 S EAU 20 W GRB 10 SE TVC 40 ENE PLN 60 ENE ANJ ...CONT...
75 NNW BUF 45 SSW ROC 15 W ABE 45 E SBY ...CONT... 35 NE DAB 25 SW
VRB 25 NW MIA 40 SE MIA ...CONT... 50 SSE LBX 35 S UTS 15 ENE UTS
SHV TXK 10 NNE PRX 25 SW GYI MWL 15 WSW SEP 50 SSW SJT 40 ENE 6R6 65
SSW 6R6.