Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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465
WUUS01 KWNS 170552
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT THU JUL 17 2025

VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   47116728 45376920 44307050 43957119 43987256 44037326
       44217374 45357380
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49620819 48680598 48100457 47080122 46489927 45449904
       44999992 44910138 45270371 47150898 48241279 48611387
       49771481
0.05   36070490 36740527 37910540 38490536 38620458 38260402
       38010306 37400233 36650219 35920270 35660360 35760431
       36070490
0.15   47800928 48401016 48740882 48410739 47390443 46800338
       46390317 46090359 46220472 47310803 47800928
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   46986663 44366955 42797109 41617196 40917310 39467434
       37447600 36997665 36177851 35668081 36088416 35798741
       35839156 35689514 35299817 34870146 34850336 35180439
       35490483 36100482 37370496 38570497 38640438 37070100
       36989921 37369552 38349120 39008682 39708314 39937984
       40517699 41327621 42537591 43297644 44967609
0.05   49630934 47700451 47030185 46519929 46179870 45719875
       45289899 44820013 44860227 45350393 46450681 47681084
       48671314 49501404
0.15   47246709 45836865 44197071 44007144 43967336 44127387
       45427386
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   47066729 45836865 44197071 44007144 43967336 44127387
       45427386
SLGT   48740882 48410739 47390443 46800338 46390317 46090359
       46220472 47310803 47800928 48401016 48740882
MRGL   46496717 44366955 42797109 41617196 40917310 37447600
       36997665 36177851 35668081 36088416 35798741 35839156
       35689514 34870146 34850336 35180439 35490483 36030482
       36740527 37910540 38490536 38570497 38640438 37070100
       36989921 37369552 38349120 39008682 39708314 39937984
       40517699 41327621 42537591 43297644 44887611
MRGL   49500790 48100457 46519929 46179870 45719875 45289899
       44820013 44860227 45270371 46890825 48611387 49521461
TSTM   49730003 48409677 47369522 46509464 45069595 44199799
       42539882 41559847 41139738 40619495 40109159 40098770
       40078492 40738179 41697773 41997792 42737940 42948019
       43798000 99999999 28369473 28999529 30119531 32629334
       33639297 34379357 34839490 34649677 34489753 33859922
       33470134 32940235 31950271 30340265 29210231 99999999
       31321256 33751237 34411338 34921409 35591569 37551718
       37731760 37671848 37681940 38251989 38541978 38841970
       39771880 40841754 42201648 42701512 42821472 42401212
       42410976 42150860 42140743 43190643 44900641 45430705
       46050813 46680934 47321199 48101400 49561754

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE
CAR 45 WSW HUL 30 E MWN 20 SSW MWN 35 NW RUT 25 SE SLK 60 NE MSS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE
HVR 40 WNW GGW 25 SSW SDY 25 W DIK 35 SSW DIK 35 N 2WX 25 WSW BHK 70
ENE LWT 55 N LWT 20 WSW HVR 45 ENE HVR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE
HUL 15 ENE AUG 25 SW PSM 20 NNE GON 10 N ISP 40 NNE ORF 25 WNW ORF
25 NE RDU 30 NNE CLT 20 NNW TYS 45 WSW BNA 10 NE BVX 15 E MKO 30 SSE
AMA 25 SSE TCC 45 W TCC 20 ESE LVS 30 NE LVS 45 W RTN 40 NE ALS 40
WSW COS 20 SW COS 20 SE COS LBL 35 WNW AVK 20 S CNU 35 ENE VIH 15 SW
BMG 25 SSW CMH 20 NNE MGW 20 NNW CXY 25 W AVP 25 N BGM 20 NW SYR 60
N ART.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105
NNW GGW 35 NNW SDY 40 SW JMS 50 NNW ABR 25 NW ABR 30 WSW ABR 30 NNE
PIR 65 NNW PHP 25 SSW 2WX 60 E LWT 25 NE GPI 85 N GPI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNE MOT 25 SSE
HCO 20 SW BJI 25 WNW BRD 30 SE VVV 20 SE HON 10 WNW ONL 40 ESE BUB
20 S OLU 25 ESE SDA 25 WNW UIN 10 SW DNV 30 ESE MIE 25 SW CAK 45 E
BFD 40 ENE BFD 35 WSW BUF 60 N ERI 85 NW BUF ...CONT... 65 S GLS 15
SE LBX 30 N HOU 30 ENE SHV 30 NNW ELD 30 WSW HOT 20 SW RKR 30 NNE
ADM 30 WNW ADM 40 WSW SPS 30 ESE LBB 55 ENE HOB 30 W MAF 35 NW 6R6
55 S 6R6 ...CONT... 110 WSW TUS 30 NW PHX 55 WSW PRC 25 SSW IGM 45
SW LAS 35 S TPH 35 SW TPH 20 NNW BIH 60 WNW BIH 45 S TVL 30 SSE TVL
15 ESE TVL 20 N NFL 15 ESE WMC 25 NW OWY 35 WNW TWF 25 NNW TWF 20
NNE MLD 20 ESE BPI 45 NNE RKS 25 NNW RWL 20 N CPR 30 ENE SHR 45 N
SHR 25 NE BIL 25 SSE LWT 30 WSW GTF 20 SE GPI 115 NE OMK.