Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
849
WUUS01 KWNS 190553
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2025

VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   47766811 46286884 44197019 42607158 40127379 38117510
       36837667 36847808 37177926 37827989 38687954 39667874
       40217807 41847650 42587589 46367412
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48066781 45346931 43057111 42397154 40557350 35887696
       34857910 35028081 35338179 35728201 36418163 40267722
       43287414 46107201
0.05   49099099 47258807 46278663 44968607 41798716 41678883
       42049383 41269604 38160144 37770183 37570273 37760318
       38340333 40020178 41440070 42670029 43810106 47000394
       48230349 49250370
0.15   49359748 48169648 46629426 45809387 45069448 45109625
       46559939 47210042 49400237
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48909063 46348666 44878606 41808720 41638876 42039368
       41209616 38080143 37730204 37560276 37730314 38340330
       39900188 41440066 42820034 43900117 45300468 45050958
       44881077 44821291 45361375 45981402 46661378 47391197
       47431065 47670866 47820468 48290350 49300369
0.05   47476763 44276967 42627048 41677141 40417181 99999999
       32877801 32048100 32168424 32308829 32709126 33879403
       34599508 35139506 35609416 35549175 35138985 35518671
       36728513 41858008 44267728
0.15   46617064 45167011 43897060 42297163 41097266 39477346
       37777471 35787606 34857910 34988076 35488205 35948247
       36468251 38478030 40307807 42047647 43447553 45957483
0.30   37747865 39747687 40987538 41617430 41477372 40037432
       38387567 37067719 37147809 37747865
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    37757864 39707692 40987538 41627429 41477372 40047432
       38387566 37067719 37137808 37757864
SLGT   46597057 45536984 43887059 42317159 41067267 39507345
       35787606 34857910 34988076 35488205 35948247 36468251
       38478030 40307807 42047647 43447553 45487496
SLGT   49359747 48169650 46649429 45789387 45069448 45109624
       46569940 47220042 49400236
MRGL   47486747 44576950 42627047 41647142 40557176 99999999
       32817820 32048100 32228814 32739132 33859406 34599508
       35169505 35609419 35589192 35138985 35488689 36668511
       44097746
MRGL   48809051 46278663 44878606 41808720 41638876 41989380
       41179623 38450093 37710200 37560287 37750321 38330337
       39040270 39930188 41490067 42700030 43840108 45310463
       45070907 44851080 44801286 45221365 45941409 46601375
       47351218 47510994 47670816 47820464 48280349 49250371
TSTM   36570097 36020024 35989925 35969673 36149340 36519067
       37318890 38578830 40238846 41058930 41419009 41409094
       41119175 40099416 39409696 38319851 37609976 37120057
       36570097 99999999 28600119 29479989 30939930 32060023
       32320133 31980265 31600304 31030313 28610325 99999999
       31020832 32410976 33470998 35230818 37240683 38290470
       39350307 40850229 42110162 43210235 43880326 44220501
       44080706 43481063 43211270 42811479 41981732 41581870
       41981955 42961946 44631837 46051737 47971546 49581455

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW
CHO 35 S CXY 25 N ABE 20 W POU 15 SE POU NEL 10 WNW SBY 30 SSE RIC
30 N AVC 30 SSW CHO.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 W
CAR 70 NW BGR 20 NW PWM 15 E ORH 25 ESE BDR 60 SE NEL 35 S ECG 15
WSW FAY 20 SSE CLT 30 E AVL 20 E HSS TRI 40 SW EKN 15 E AOO 25 ESE
ELM 20 NNW UCA 40 N MSS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW
HCO 15 WNW TVF 20 NNW BRD 20 NNE STC 40 SSW STC 15 SSE VVV 45 SW JMS
35 NNE BIS 90 NNW MOT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE
CAR 25 NE AUG 30 ENE BOS PVD 45 SSW BID ...CONT... 75 SE CRE 15 ESE
SAV 35 ESE MEI 45 ENE MLU 25 SE DEQ 40 SW RKR 25 WNW RKR 20 NNE FSM
20 SW BVX 10 NE MEM 45 SSW BNA 50 N CSV 70 N ROC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N
GNA 45 NNE ESC 25 WNW TVC 25 NNW VPZ 20 NNW MMO 30 NNW DSM 20 WSW
OMA 40 NNW GCK 45 SE LAA 25 NW SPD 25 SE LHX 20 NNE LHX 25 WSW ITR
40 NNW GLD 25 N LBF 15 SE VTN 30 ESE PHP 40 ESE 4BQ 40 N COD 20 NE
WEY 30 WNW MQM 15 ENE SMN 55 N SMN 25 SE MSO 40 WSW GTF 40 NW LWT 75
NE LWT 20 WNW SDY 10 NE ISN 75 N ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE GUY 70 ENE BGD
45 N CSM 15 NNE CQB 15 WSW HRO 20 SSW POF 20 NNW PAH 35 ENE MVN 15
NW CMI 35 NE PIA 20 E MLI 25 W MLI 35 E OTM 35 WNW CDJ 25 NW MHK 40
WNW HUT 15 SE DDC 25 ENE LBL 30 ESE GUY ...CONT... 55 SSW DRT 45 W
HDO 40 NE JCT 40 SW ABI 10 NE BGS 25 W MAF 15 SE INK 15 WNW FST 115
SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 80 ESE DUG 30 SSW SAD 45 NNW SAD 15 WNW GNT 50 E
DRO 10 W PUB 30 E LIC 40 ESE SNY 30 W MHN 45 NE CDR 15 SW RAP 25 ESE
GCC 45 E WRL 10 SSE JAC 20 NNW PIH 30 NW TWF 50 SSE REO 65 NW WMC 45
ESE LKV 50 SSW BNO 30 WSW BKE 30 SW LWS 25 N 3TH 90 N GPI.