Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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535
WUUS01 KWNS 171445
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0944 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025

VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40520251 40020137 39799956 39729729 40039640 40489477
       40529345 40339256 39669234 37909280 37129340 36149453
       35689608 35519781 35520033 35830198 36290315 37360458
       38210503 39270520 39940477 40570366 40520251
0.02   36977608 36697640 36687670 36967724 37707810 38477864
       39137855 39557833 39787780 39687713 39277674 38377613
       37777596 37307596 36977608
0.05   38349468 37279501 36759557 36389620 36169728 36119830
       36109939 36220044 36550137 36830178 37230200 37460197
       37810165 38500050 38819955 39129831 39429699 39439559
       39169497 38919472 38349468
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40388859 39548910 38489020 36209239 35509331 35149413
       34889491 34479679 34439888 34570024 34870139 35940340
       37130472 38060531 39640568 40090582 41210633 42440648
       43320612 44040517 44430434 44430358 44340272 44040195
       43660109 43389972 43279787 43379533 43439448 43709197
       43898978 43768841 43308777 42748769 42278770 40678845
       40388859
0.15   42119207 41909155 41589123 40919103 39699148 36909430
       36089713 36029816 36069959 36310304 37400450 38120485
       40330551 41470556 42390530 42730466 42730447 42650315
       41850188 41090101 40449937 40439780 40569690 40739639
       41359543 42089432 42369363 42259249 42119207
0.30   38650014 38799932 38489730 38179675 37909631 37459635
       36989687 36719768 36639833 36659906 36750001 36990034
       37280058 37840073 38370060 38650014
SIGN   36079958 36320304 37400449 38110483 38950505 39610467
       39950409 39990305 39790220 39290096 39119935 39049823
       39099734 38969683 38769639 38349598 37689618 36739662
       36369791 36079958
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36637640 36617831 36188014 35158250 32138551 31328671
       30948840 31088934 31699031 32539033 33978967 35248879
       37278607 39068325 40248148 40968013 41097893 41077813
       40807742 40387685 39937657 38987615 38257583 37407575
       36907591 36637640
0.05   44320268 44060195 43630105 43379968 43289782 43389492
       43769134 43888965 43778840 43318780 42768767 42248772
       40728841 39538910 36189230 35429313 34969406 34619501
       34379670 34449888 34570025 34880140 35960340 37130471
       38060531 40120584 41230635 42430649 43310614 44070513
       44430433 44430361 44320268
0.15   42740466 42650317 41810184 41070101 40449934 40429783
       40559701 40709636 41839474 42089431 42379354 42269253
       41959164 41619124 40999105 39719143 37129310 35859455
       35469555 35279719 35299920 35450037 35840194 36320304
       36920385 37390449 38100484 40380551 41430554 42350533
       42740466
0.30   39930297 39750153 39529879 39529607 39549530 39329483
       38869452 38409427 37859427 37189446 36859488 36259615
       36089717 36039816 36069956 36160066 36280179 36610256
       36980324 37560389 38080438 38670453 39310434 39650412
       39800383 39880357 39930297
0.45   38800173 38920121 38799956 38689845 38599785 38389756
       38209739 37899720 37309719 37059731 36739766 36599826
       36619962 36730032 36870097 37090151 37570193 37800201
       38240205 38500198 38800173
SIGN   39469681 39309553 38869489 38099460 37479450 37039469
       36369527 35939622 35629713 35599911 35670024 35960140
       36280205 36980324 37500378 38630414 39060413 39350403
       39870355 39910300 39750156 39499884 39469681
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    36720031 36880100 37090151 37580193 37810201 38240205
       38510197 38800173 38920121 38699853 38599786 38389756
       38209739 37909721 37649719 37319719 37019732 36739766
       36589829 36619963 36720031
ENH    38949456 38399427 37839426 37179447 36859489 36259614
       36099715 36039819 36079964 36140043 36280177 36570247
       36950320 37610393 38100438 38670455 39290434 39630413
       39790385 39880357 39930297 39740153 39529882 39529610
       39559534 39329483 38949456
SLGT   39679145 37129308 35859456 35469555 35289720 35309922
       35450037 35840194 36320304 36870377 37390449 38090483
       40400551 41450555 42380531 42740467 42650317 41810185
       41070101 40459937 40439786 40559700 40719636 41639504
       42059438 42369357 42259249 41979165 41599124 40929106
       39679145
MRGL   34619501 34379670 34439889 34570025 34870140 35950340
       37130471 38050531 40140585 41260635 42430649 43310614
       44080512 44430433 44440361 44330271 44070197 43640106
       43379968 43289783 43389489 43888965 43778841 43318780
       42768767 42248772 40698842 39538910 36199230 35449312
       34969406 34619501
MRGL   39927657 38247582 37397577 36907590 36637640 36617831
       36188014 35158251 33348435 32158550 31328671 30948837
       31088935 31709031 32569032 34018965 35248879 37348597
       39088321 40248148 40968014 41097892 41077813 40797741
       40377684 39927657
TSTM   26959674 28069723 29839559 31039398 32979277 33639222
       35539125 35359211 34879277 34139438 34089543 32619633
       31829731 31969860 30770095 30260160 29120254 99999999
       29480483 31120413 32740255 35040192 35880343 36900524
       38520594 39860723 41300770 42520928 44131020 45551062
       46541116 47471143 48561098 49571138 99999999 49800185
       48160027 46529966 45739901 45319696 44399497 43879189
       43968965 45528644 46728396 99999999 45207559 43627552
       42317587 41777511 41147367 41107205 40567084 99999999
       29568063 27188070 26438047 26107953

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
LBL 10 S LBL 20 ENE EHA 40 N EHA 40 ESE LAA 35 ENE LAA 50 NE LAA 40
S GLD 40 SE GLD 20 SE RSL 20 SW SLN 25 NE HUT 30 ENE HUT 20 NE ICT
15 E ICT 25 SSE ICT 25 NNW PNC 30 NNE END 25 ESE AVK 55 WSW AVK 40
ESE LBL.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE
OJC 40 SE OJC 50 NNE JLN JLN 20 NNW GMJ 15 WNW TUL 30 NW CQB 25 SW
END 55 NNW CSM 60 ENE BGD 30 SSW GUY 40 N DHT 35 N CAO 30 NE TAD 15
SSE PUB 15 SE COS 35 W LIC 35 NW LIC 35 NNW LIC 30 SW AKO 20 SE AKO
30 NNE GLD 45 N RSL 40 NW TOP 25 WNW FLV FLV 10 ENE OJC.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW
UIN 20 ESE SGF 25 WSW FYV 20 SW MKO 25 ESE OKC CSM 60 ESE BGD 30 WNW
BGD 10 SE CAO 40 SE TAD 10 NW TAD 20 SW PUB 25 W FCL 10 NE LAR 25 S
DGW 35 E DGW 15 SSW CDR 45 WSW MHN 20 WSW LBF 25 SW EAR 30 ESE HSI
20 NW BIE 25 ESE LNK 30 SE DNS 35 SSW FOD 35 ESE FOD 20 SSW ALO CID
30 SE CID 10 NNE BRL 25 SW UIN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW
RKR 20 ENE ADM 25 SE LTS 10 N CDS 30 SE AMA 35 SSW CAO 25 WSW TAD 45
WSW PUB 50 WSW FCL 35 W LAR 30 S CPR 35 NNE CPR 30 SE GCC 60 E GCC
40 NW RAP 25 NE RAP 20 W PHP 40 SE PHP 35 SSW 9V9 35 NW YKN 20 NE
SPW 30 E VOK 15 SSE OSH 25 N MKE RAC 35 S RAC 30 ENE BMI 25 SSW DEC
10 E FLP 15 N RUE 30 SE FSM 35 SW RKR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE
CXY 20 WSW SBY 40 SSW WAL 15 E ORF 20 SSW ORF 15 WSW AVC 15 WNW GSO
20 S AVL 20 SSE ATL 30 S AUO 20 ESE GZH 20 NNW MOB 25 S PIB 35 NNE
MCB 65 SSW GWO 25 SSW UOX 25 SSE MKL 35 NE BWG 55 W UNI 30 NE ZZV 30
N PIT DUJ 20 NW UNV 25 E UNV 10 N CXY 25 SE CXY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SE CRP 25 NE CRP
20 NW HOU 45 ESE LFK 20 S ELD 25 W LLQ 25 ESE BVX 35 SW BVX 30 WNW
LIT DEQ 30 N PRX 35 ESE DAL 15 NNW ACT 25 ENE BWD 50 SSW SJT 40 ENE
6R6 65 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 80 SW MRF 50 N MRF 40 E HOB 15 SW AMA 40
SSW CAO 45 WNW RTN 55 E GUC 20 NW EGE 45 SW RWL 35 SW LND 45 NE JAC
15 SW LVM 40 E HLN GTF 55 W HVR 80 NE CTB ...CONT... 110 NNW MOT 45
E MOT 55 WSW JMS 35 NW ABR 25 W VVV 10 SSE RWF 30 E RST 30 E VOK 35
ESE ESC 25 NE ANJ ...CONT... 40 WNW MSS 35 NNW UCA 10 NE BGM 15 WNW
MSV 30 W BDR 15 S GON 55 SE BID ...CONT... 35 NE DAB 35 SSW VRB 30
SW PBI 50 ENE MIA.