Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
891 FNUS22 KWNS 140653 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... The upper ridge over the central US is forecast to continue building rapidly as the weak western US trough is pushed northward. Showers and thunderstorms are likely on the periphery. Beneath the ridge, very warm temperatures are again likely over the central US promoting low humidity, breezy winds and some fire-weather risk. ...Southern Plains... Another day of very hot conditions is expected beneath the building ridge across the central and southern Plains. Afternoon temperatures in the low hundreds are likely again supporting RH minimums around 20-25%%. A weak surface low and trailing surface trough will promote gusty southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph at the surface, albeit slightly weaker than Friday. With little recent rainfall, area fuels are very dry. Some locally elevated fire-weather concerns are possible for parts of western OK and the TX Panhandle Saturday, but the weaker winds will preclude an Elevated area. ...Northwest... To the north and west of the upper ridge, weak troughing will persist atop a plume of monsoon moisture. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is likely over parts of WA/OR and into western ID. While recent rainfall over the WA/OR Cascades should likely temper fuels, drier conditions over eastern OR and western ID may allow fuels to remain more receptive to lightning ignitions. Mean storm speeds around 25 mph and relatively dry low-levels could support some risk for dry thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. Adjustments to the IsoDryT area will likely be needed pending rainfall amounts on Friday, but some risk for lighting over dry fuels is apparent. ..Lyons.. 08/14/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$