


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
920 FNUS22 KWNS 101944 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0243 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 10/10/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025/ ...Synopsis... An amplified large-scale trough will advance eastward across the western CONUS on Saturday. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen over the northern High Plains, while a lee trough extends southward along the remainder of the High Plains. The tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening lee trough will result in breezy southerly surface winds over much of the Plains. Along the eastern periphery of the more substantial moisture return, around 15-20 mph sustained southerly surface winds will overlap 25-35 percent RH over the Middle MO Valley and northern Plains. This should favor several hours of elevated fire-weather conditions during the afternoon, followed by precipitation into the evening/overnight hours. Farther south, surface winds will not be quite as strong over the southern Plains. However, given dry/receptive fuels over parts of Northwest TX into southwest OK, around 15 mph sustained southerly surface winds and 20-25 percent RH could still yield locally elevated fire-weather conditions. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$