Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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990
FNUS22 KWNS 101959
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...Central High Plains...
Modest northwesterly flow over the central/southern Rockies and
leeward surface troughing across the central/southern Plains is
expected Tuesday. This should result in a dry, downslope flow into
the central High Plains, promoting a steady erosion of a shallow,
low-level temperature inversion through the late morning hours
Tuesday. West to northwest winds of 15 mph (locally 20 mph) across
eastern CO, western KS and adjacent plains along the central and
southern Rockies, amid 15-20% relative humidity and dry/cured fuels
will support an elevated fire weather risk Tuesday.

...Southwest Florida...
Dry, post-frontal flow perpendicular to the FL Peninsula should
bring a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions to portions of
the southwest FL Tuesday. Northerly winds of up to 15 mph and low
relative humidity of 20-30% will present an elevated fire weather
concern Tuesday where these conditions align with dry fuels.
Elevated fire weather highlights were added to southwest portions of
the FL Peninsula.

...Southern Plains...
A tightening surface pressure gradient should evolve through Tuesday
between high pressure over the Southeast and surface troughing
across the southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest. Southwest
winds of 15-20 mph amid relative humidity of 15-25% across central
and northwest TX along with portions of southern OK, will promote
elevated fire weather concerns amid dry fuels Tuesday afternoon.

..Williams.. 11/10/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1254 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025/

...Synopsis...
Within a belt of moderate west-northwesterly flow aloft across the
central/southern Rockies, an embedded/subtle midlevel impulse will
move into the southern Plains during the day. This will reinforce
surface troughing and tighten the pressure gradient across the
southern Plains -- where a dry antecedent air mass will be in place.
This pressure gradient, combined with boundary-layer mixing into
enhanced low-level southwesterly flow, will favor 15-20 mph
sustained south-southwesterly surface winds (westerly over eastern
NM into west TX behind the surface trough) amid 15-20 percent RH.
Given areas of dry/receptive fuels, elevated to locally critical
fire-weather conditions are expected.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$