Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
107 FNUS22 KWNS 041849 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2026 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z The Elevated area over portions of the Southwest and Great Basin was expanded to the south to include much of southern AZ and more of southeast CA. Hot surface temperatures, leading to a deeply mixed boundary layer, and very dry air (down to single digit RHs) during peak heating over this region will combine with a tightened surface pressure gradient. This will yield Elevated weather conditions via sustained westerly winds of 10-20 mph during much of the afternoon. Additionally, the burn periods continue to lengthen over this region as RHs will struggle to recover during the overnight periods. ..Stearns.. 06/04/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2026/ ...Synopsis... A robust upper-level trough will approach the Northwest Coast on Day 2/Friday, increasing mid-level southwesterly flow across the Great Basin. Weaker deep-layer flow will persist over the Southwest where a very dry airmass exists. Several perturbations embedded within zonal flow across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest will continue chances for precipitation, meanwhile surface high pressure over the Southeast will promote dry conditions and above normal temperatures. A warm and dry airmass will linger into Day 2/Friday across the Great Basin and Southwest. Latest guidance depicts weaker flow aloft portions of the Southwest, however, very low daytime RH near 10% (localized single digits) amid 10-20 mph terrain-driven winds will support a fire weather threat across northwest Arizona, southeastern Nevada, and southwestern Utah. Elevated highlights have been introduced where aforesaid weather conditions will overlap a region of receptive fuels (broad 80-90th percentile ERCs). ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$