Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
561 FNUS22 KWNS 141951 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0250 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...East-central Nevada... Dry and breezy conditions southeast of an upper-level trough across the Pacific Northwest will effect portions of the Great Basin. Elevated highlights remain for portions of east-central NV as southwest winds of 15-20 mph and RH as low as 10% combine atop drying fuels. No changes were needed to the existing Elevated highlights. ...Southern Plains... A surface trough south of an advancing cold front over the central Plains will support modest south winds of 10-15 mph across TX and much of OK Tuesday. Alignment of most receptive fuels and breezy south winds will be across portions of southwest OK and northwestern TX where Elevated fire weather highlights have been introduced. Although winds will be incrementally lower than D1/Monday coupled with RH reductions in the 25-30% range, a low-level jet evolving this evening/overnight could limit boundary layer decoupling, keeping temperatures in the upper 70s and limiting RH recoveries going into Tuesday morning. The combined effects, in addition to well above normal temperatures and drought stressed fuelscape, will support an elevated fire weather risk across the area. ..Williams.. 09/14/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026/ ...Synopsis... Dry southwesterly flow is forecast to return to the Great Basin on Tuesday as an upper-level trough moves into the Pacific Northwest. Elevated fire-weather conditions are expected over portions of east-central Nevada. ...East-central Nevada... Southwesterly to southerly winds of 15-20 MPH are forecast by mid-afternoon across central and eastern Nevada, while relative humidity is expected to be in the vicinity of 10-15%. Forecast guidance for fuels has ERCs reaching the 80th annual percentile as fuels continue to cure, supporting an Elevated fire-weather threat for Tuesday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$