Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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561
FNUS22 KWNS 141951
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0250 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...East-central Nevada...
Dry and breezy conditions southeast of an upper-level trough across
the Pacific Northwest will effect portions of the Great Basin.
Elevated highlights remain for portions of east-central NV as
southwest winds of 15-20 mph and RH as low as 10% combine atop
drying fuels. No changes were needed to the existing Elevated
highlights.

...Southern Plains...
A surface trough south of an advancing cold front over the central
Plains will support modest south winds of 10-15 mph across TX and
much of OK Tuesday. Alignment of most receptive fuels and breezy
south winds will be across portions of southwest OK and northwestern
TX where Elevated fire weather highlights have been introduced.
Although winds will be incrementally lower than D1/Monday coupled
with RH reductions in the 25-30% range, a low-level jet evolving
this evening/overnight could limit boundary layer decoupling,
keeping temperatures in the upper 70s and limiting RH recoveries
going into Tuesday morning. The combined effects, in addition to
well above normal temperatures and drought stressed fuelscape, will
support an elevated fire weather risk across the area.

..Williams.. 09/14/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026/

...Synopsis...
Dry southwesterly flow is forecast to return to the Great Basin on
Tuesday as an upper-level trough moves into the Pacific Northwest.
Elevated fire-weather conditions are expected over portions of
east-central Nevada.


...East-central Nevada...
Southwesterly to southerly winds of 15-20 MPH are forecast by
mid-afternoon across central and eastern Nevada, while relative
humidity is expected to be in the vicinity of 10-15%. Forecast
guidance for fuels has ERCs reaching the 80th annual percentile as
fuels continue to cure, supporting an Elevated fire-weather threat
for Tuesday.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$