Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
442 FNUS22 KWNS 031923 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z An area of Elevated fire weather conditions was introduced over portions of the Intermountain West along/behind the anticipated position of a cold front on Day 2/Thursday. Behind this dry front, sustained westerly winds of 10-20 mph are expected through much of the afternoon hours. Hot and very dry (5-15% minimum RHs) conditions supportive of deep boundary layer mixing up to 450 mb will be in place over much of the Southwest, Great Basin, and central Rocky Mountain regions. While some fraction of green vegetation sporadically exists over some of this region, this combination of wind/RH amid receptive fuel conditions will support a limited fire weather risk. Given the right alignment of wind, RH, and very dry fuels possible within localized portions of the drawn area, critical thresholds could be briefly achieved. ..Stearns.. 06/03/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 03 2026/ ...Synopsis... Ahead of an approaching deep upper low currently offshore the British Columbia Coast, zonal flow will overspread the Northwest through the Upper Midwest. Multiple embedded shortwave troughs within the downstream flow will encourage additional precipitation across portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin, bringing some relief to a recently receptive fuelscape. Upper ridging will continue to flatten over the Great Lakes region, steering surface high pressure atop the Southeast and initiating a gradual warming trend into the weekend. A dry airmass will persist across the Great Basin into northern Arizona with RH values declining to less than 15%. Weaker deep layer flow should limit widespread elevated sustained wind speeds, precluding any highlights. However, localized fire weather concerns may emerge in terrain-favored areas where gusty winds and critically low RH coalesce atop drying fuels. While a broader elevated was not introduced, these conditions will likely serve as more of a curing event, leading to increased fire concerns this weekend as an upper trough traverses the Northwest. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$