Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
896 FNUS22 KWNS 111951 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...Great Basin and parts of the Sacramento Valley and adjacent foothills... A robust upper low and associated 65-75 knot mid-level jet moving into Pacific Northwest and northern CA will promote elevated fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin and portions of the Sacramento Valley and adjacent foothills/Coastal Range on D2/Saturday. West/southwest winds of 15-20 mph will evolve across much of NV, southern ID by Saturday afternoon while RH reductions of 10-15% will be common central/southern NV. A corridor of enhanced southwesterly winds of 20-30 mph in closer vicinity to the mid-level jet is expected across far northeastern CA, far northwest NV and southeastern OR. However, fuel receptiveness across the region will remain subdued due to recent moisture and afternoon RH closer to 20-25% should insulate impacts from an otherwise near-critical meteorological environment. Elevated highlights have been introduced into portions of the Sacramento Valley and Coastal Range vicinity for Saturday. Onshore flow accelerates through Saturday as the upper low and associated stronger flow aloft push into the region. The onshore flow should inhibit critically low RH of 15% or less from developing Saturday afternoon. However, west winds of 10-20 mph (localized wind gusts of 40 mph in favored Coastal Range terrain gaps) will sustain an overall fire weather threat within sufficiently receptive fuelscape. ..Williams.. 09/11/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0207 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026/ ...Synopsis... An upper low is forecast to move into portions of the Pacific Northwest on Saturday with a fairly strong 70 kt jet streak. As this jet streak begins to enter the Great Basin, the cross-range flow and boundary layer mixing will result in dry and breezy conditions supporting Elevated fire-weather highlights. ...Northern Nevada into far southern portions of Oregon and Idaho... Westerly surface winds should become fairly gusty, reaching 20-25 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15%. However, fuels are generally in the vicinity of the 50th-60th annual ERC percentiles, suggesting a lack of receptiveness to wildfire ignition and spread. In spite of the meager fuels, meteorological conditions will warrant at least Elevated highlights owing to the strong surface winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$