167
FNUS22 KWNS 150737
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire weather conditions are probable Sunday afternoon
across portions of central Virginia in the lee of the Blue Ridge
Mountains. The cold front currently pushing across the Great Plains
is expected to reach the Mid-Atlantic by early Sunday, pushing well
offshore by early afternoon. This will establish a northwesterly
offshore flow regime across the region with downslope winds off the
Blue Ridge Mountains likely reaching to around 15 mph based on
recent ensemble/deterministic consensus. These solutions also
suggest that very little rainfall is likely with the frontal
passage, which will help maintain ongoing drought conditions and
keep ERC values near the 90th percentile. With RH reductions to near
25% likely by peak heating, elevated to locally critical fire
weather conditions appear probable.

..Moore.. 11/15/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$