624
FNUS22 KWNS 162001
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR EASTERN ARIZONA AND WESTERN
NEW MEXICO...

An upper-level short wave trough and increased mid-level winds will
continue to bring Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions to
the portions of the Southwest Tuesday. Latest model guidance
consensus shows a slight northeastward push of stronger
west-northwest winds into northwestern New Mexico for Tuesday.
Sustained wind speeds of 15-25 mph combined with RH below 10 percent
will promote Critical fire weather conditions within dry fuels.
Critical highlights were nudged northward to cover this fire weather
threat. Otherwise, previous forecast remains on track.

..Williams.. 06/16/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025/

...Synopsis...
Within the base of a midlevel trough advancing eastward from the
Great Basin into the central Rockies, moderate deep-layer westerly
flow will overspread the Southwest during the afternoon. In response
to this feature, a lee cyclone will deepen over the central High
Plains.

...Western NM and Eastern AZ...
Deep boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft, coupled
with a tightening pressure gradient peripheral to the deepening lee
cyclone, will contribute to an expansive area of single-digit RH and
20 mph sustained westerly surface winds across western NM and
eastern AZ. These dry/windy conditions atop increasingly dry fuels
will lead to critical fire-weather conditions during the afternoon.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$