Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
630 FNUS22 KWNS 032037 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 PM CST Sat Jan 03 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Update... A few minor changes were made to the Elevated area for Sunday. An expansion southward to include more of the OK and TX Panhandles and northeast NM was introduced given the potential for higher wind speeds there, while less of the High Plains of northern CO will be impacted by these stronger winds. The highest wind speeds coinciding with RH in the teens are still anticipated Sunday afternoon across portions of the Front Range of CO, though the duration and areal extent of critical weather conditions does not warrant an upgrade at this time. Further south and east into NM, TX and OK, RH will generally range from 20 to 25 percent. For additional details, please see the previous discussion below. ..Barnes.. 01/03/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CST Sat Jan 03 2026/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge will continue to move across the central US on Sunday. As the ridge axis moves into the Plains, southwest mid-level flow will begin to strengthen across the Rockies ahead of a long-wave tough across the West. This downslope flow will result in minimum afternoon relative humidity values falling into the teens and twenties percentages across the Front Range of Colorado, and the adjacent High Plains. Although model guidance currently forecasts winds generally light (10 mph or less), pattern recognition suggests stronger afternoon winds will likely develop in response to lee troughing across the High Plains. As such, elevated fire weather conditions are expected across eastern Colorado and adjacent areas. Here, minimum relative humidity percentages of 20% and afternoon winds of at least 15 mph are likely. If confidence in stronger winds or lower relative humidity percentages increases, portions of the highlighted area will need to be upgraded to Critical in subsequent forecasts. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$