Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 032037
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0236 PM CST Sat Jan 03 2026

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...Update...
A few minor changes were made to the Elevated area for Sunday. An
expansion southward to include more of the OK and TX Panhandles and
northeast NM was introduced given the potential for higher wind
speeds there, while less of the High Plains of northern CO will be
impacted by these stronger winds. The highest wind speeds coinciding
with RH in the teens are still anticipated Sunday afternoon across
portions of the Front Range of CO, though the duration and areal
extent of critical weather conditions does not warrant an upgrade at
this time. Further south and east into NM, TX and OK, RH will
generally range from 20 to 25 percent. For additional details,
please see the previous discussion below.

..Barnes.. 01/03/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CST Sat Jan 03 2026/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level ridge will continue to move across the central US on
Sunday. As the ridge axis moves into the Plains, southwest mid-level
flow will begin to strengthen across the Rockies ahead of a
long-wave tough across the West. This downslope flow will result in
minimum afternoon relative humidity values falling into the teens
and twenties percentages across the Front Range of Colorado, and the
adjacent High Plains. Although model guidance currently forecasts
winds generally light (10 mph or less), pattern recognition suggests
stronger afternoon winds will likely develop in response to lee
troughing across the High Plains. As such, elevated fire weather
conditions are expected across eastern Colorado and adjacent areas.
Here, minimum relative humidity percentages of 20% and afternoon
winds of at least 15 mph are likely. If confidence in stronger winds
or lower relative humidity percentages increases, portions of the
highlighted area will need to be upgraded to Critical in subsequent
forecasts.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$