Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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955
FNUS22 KWNS 110652
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...Synopsis...
On the backside of a robust midlevel trough and attendant surface
low moving eastward from the northern Plains into the upper Midwest
and eventually the Great Lakes, strong deep-layer northwesterly flow
will overspread a well-mixed post-frontal air mass over the
upper/middle MO Valley during the day. While RH reductions will be
modest in the post-frontal air mass (around 25-30 percent), 20-25
mph sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) will
compensate and support elevated to locally critical fire-weather
conditions -- given dry/receptive fuels. If guidance trends any
lower with RH reductions, a targeted Critical area could eventually
be warranted.

..Weinman.. 05/11/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$