610
ACUS02 KWNS 070515
SWODY2
SPC AC 070513

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 AM CDT Tue Oct 07 2025

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

...Synopsis...

An amplified upper ridge will remain centered on the Plains on
Wednesday. Meanwhile, an upper trough over the Northeast and
Mid-Atlantic will continue to lift northeast, moving offshore the
Atlantic coast by the end of the period. A surface cold front will
be oriented from coastal New England toward the southern
Appalachians and the central Gulf Coast Wednesday morning. As the
front continues to develop offshore into the Atlantic and Gulf,
strong high pressure will build over the Great Lakes/Midwest.
Easterly low-level flow will transport modest moisture westward
across the Rio Grade and into portions of NM/AZ on the western
periphery of the strengthening surface high.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across portions of AZ/NM
where modest boundary layer moisture beneath midlevel lapse rates
near 7 C/km supports weak destabilization. Vertical shear will be
weak, and convection will be relatively shallow, given high bases
and low tops. While some locally gusty winds could occur, severe
potential is low. Additional thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Southeast into the southern Mid-Atlantic ahead of the front.
Instability will be limited by poor lapse rates and cloud cover.
Vertical shear will also weaken through the day as the upper trough
continues to lift further from these regions. Severe thunderstorms
are not expected.

..Leitman.. 10/07/2025

$$