080
ACUS02 KWNS 030416
SWODY2
SPC AC 030414

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1114 PM CDT Fri Oct 02 2026

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not forecast for Sunday.

...Synopsis...
A large-scale upper trough will deepen from Ontario into Quebec
Sunday as an upper low moves across James Bay. A leading shortwave
trough will quickly move from the Great Lakes into the Northeast,
with an attendant surface front. However, little if any instability
will be present to support thunderstorms.

Behind the lead wave, a larger backside speed max will nose into the
Upper Great Lakes late in the day, with another surface high
building across much of the Midwest. Scattered thunderstorms will
remain possible from the TX Coast to FL, where low-level moisture
and instability (MLCAPE < 1000 J/kg) will exist. Weak shear and warm
temperatures aloft will not favor severe storms.

Elsewhere, a few weak afternoon thunderstorms may occur over a small
part of central/southwest CO over the higher terrain where minimal
instability will exist due to steep lapse rates.

..Jewell.. 10/03/2026

$$