514
ACUS02 KWNS 221634
SWODY2
SPC AC 221632

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The potential for severe storms is low across the continental U.S.
for Saturday.

...Synopsis...

An upper trough will deepen over the Great Lakes and Midwest,
enveloping much of the eastern half of the U.S. on Saturday.
Meanwhile, an amplified upper ridge will persist across the West. At
the surface, a cold front will extend from Upper MI into northeast
NM Saturday morning, and sweep east/southeast through the period
across much of the MS/OH Valleys into the southern Plains.

A seasonally moist airmass ahead of the front will result in a
narrow corridor of modest destabilization across Lower MI into the
Mid-MS Valley, and westward across parts of KS/OK and the
central/southern High Plains. Isolated to widely scattered
thunderstorms may develop near the cold front, or in the
post-frontal upslope regime across the central High Plains. Modest
midlevel lapse rates are forecast amid MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. Poor
convergence along the front and weak large-scale ascent with south
and westward extent should limit storm coverage. Overall, severe
potential appears low.

..Leitman.. 08/22/2025

$$