Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
762 ACUS02 KWNS 261700 SWODY2 SPC AC 261658 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1158 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts may occur on Wednesday over parts of the Mid Atlantic Region. ...Mid Atlantic Region... A strong shortwave trough will track southeastward across Ontario on Wednesday, with mid-level height falls and cooling aloft occurring over much of the northeast states. At the surface, the primary surface boundary will extend from southern OH across WV/MD into VA/DE. A warm/humid and moderately unstable air mass will be present along and south of the boundary, promoting the development of scattered thunderstorms from eastern KY to the coast. Storms will track southeastward through the afternoon and early evening through an environment of steep low-level lapse rates and moderately strong westerly flow above the boundary layer. This would support a risk of damaging wind gusts in the more organized cells/clusters. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms may also form over the higher terrain of western NC with a risk of locally gusty/damaging winds. ...TX Panhandle... A shortwave trough currently over eastern NM will continue to rotate northward across the Plains on Wednesday, with the upper thermal trough present over eastern CO/western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. A convectively enhanced surface boundary is expected to lie across the northern TX panhandle by afternoon, with strong heating occurring to the south of front. This should provide sufficient destabilization for widely scattered thunderstorm development by late afternoon. Despite relatively weak vertical shear, steep mid-level lapse rates and cool temperatures aloft suggest a risk of multicell storms capable of large hail. ..Hart.. 05/26/2026 $$