342
ACUS03 KWNS 011925
SWODY3
SPC AC 011924

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0224 PM CDT Mon Jun 01 2026

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER PARTS
OF THE DAKOTAS...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms with large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible
Wednesday in parts of the northern Plains, with widely scattered
strong wind gusts or marginal hail over parts of the central High
Plains.

...Northern Plains...
Slight cooling aloft will occur over ND into northern MN as a
shortwave trough slowly moves east across the area. Midlevel winds
of 35-45 kt are forecast, resulting in deep-layer shear of 30-40 kt
as southerly winds of 30 kt develop at 850 mb. A cold front will
move into eastern ND and central SD during the afternoon, providing
a focus for storm development. MUCAPE may average around 1500 J/kg
with low 60s F dewpoints, though models disagree on this. Some
forecast soundings appear favorable for a supercells with good mid
to high level flow and increasing evening SRH, especially across the
Red River Valley and into northwest MN.

...Central Plains and into NM...
A moist and unstable air mass will remain over much of the central
and southern Plains as well as into NM. Shear will be weak, but the
air mass will be uncapped over this entire area as temperatures
aloft will remain relatively cool. As such, scattered areas of
thunderstorms will occur during the afternoon along the length of
the High Plains, with localized wind or hail. Moisture will push
westward across NM as well, again with isolated strong gusts or
small hail.

..Jewell.. 06/01/2026

$$