947
ACUS03 KWNS 150603
SWODY3
SPC AC 150602

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0102 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe potential is low/uncertain on Thursday.

...Discussion...

Low-amplitude westerly flow will persist from the northern Rockies
to the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic on Thursday. Meanwhile, the
subtropical upper high over the Southeast will slowly spread
westward. At the surface, a cold front will extend from northwest OH
to northwest OK and the TX Panhandle at the beginning of the period.
Much of the boundary will stall/move very little over the Plains and
Mid-MS/Lower OH Valley. Meanwhile, the northern portions of the
front will spread east across the Lower Great Lakes and portions of
the Northeast.

Some severe potential could develop in the vicinity of the surface
boundary across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic vicinity.
However, large disparity exists among forecast guidance with regards
to the position of the cold front and any potential MCVs from prior
day`s convection. This uncertainty precludes severe probabilities at
this time, but could become necessary in later outlooks as details
become better resolved.

..Leitman.. 07/15/2025

$$