Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
167 ACUS03 KWNS 051923 SWODY3 SPC AC 051922 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2026 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of large to very large hail and severe wind gusts are possible across the northern Plains. More isolated severe storms capable locally damaging wind gusts may occur across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a mid-level trough will move from the East Coast to the Atlantic with a strong ridge across the Great Lakes. A large scale trough will be in place across the western CONUS with an embedded shortwave trough moving from the Northwest to the northern Rockies through the day. At the surface, a lee trough will extend along the High Plains from eastern Montana to West Texas. ...Northern Plains and Vicinity... Moderate to strong instability will develop across the northern Plains with mid to upper 60s dewpoints. Farther west, wrap-around moisture will result in modest destabilization into northeast Wyoming and eastern Montana. Storms will first develop in this area. While instability will be less within this zone, stronger mid-level flow will support storm organization including the potential for supercells. Large hail and severe wind gusts will be the primary threat. In addition to this activity, additional storms are expected along the dryline/front in central North Dakota where instability will be greatest and temperatures are expected to warm into the upper 80s to low 90s. ...Portions of the Mid-Atlantic... Diurnal heating and upper 60s dewpoints will support modest destabilization ahead of the surface front across eastern Virginia and vicinity on Sunday. Mid-level forcing associated with the southeastward moving trough will support isolated to scattered thunderstorm development during the afternoon/evening. Damaging winds will be the primary threat from these storms with the threat expected to wane after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2026 $$