


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
840 FXUS66 KEKA 140703 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 1203 AM PDT Mon Jul 14 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Very hot conditions continue across the interior today. Some relief to the heat arrives mid to late week, but conditions remain warm. Isolated dry lightning is possible for the northern Trinity mountains this afternoon and evening. && .DISCUSSION...Hot weather continues today with most interior valleys forecast to see temperatures between 100 and 110. The highest temperatures are likely along the Trinity and Klamath Rivers in Trinity and Humboldt Counties. A deeper marine layer in Mendocino County is bringing slightly higher humidities with slightly lower temperatures. Moderate to Major HeatRisk is expected today, which is dangerous to those without proper cooling and those sensitive to heat related illness. Smoke models are showing higher smoke concentrations in the valleys this morning. Instability in the afternoon is likely to mix out some of the haze and improve air quality, except immediately downwind from the fires. Upper-level moisture from the east along with hot temperatures and elevated instability does support a slight chance (10-15%) for an isolated thunderstorm in northern Trinity County. The ridge moves eastward Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing for the marine layer to deepen and provide some relief to the hottest temperatures. Trinity County and northeast Humboldt may still see hot temperatures through Wednesday, but still see high temperatures 5-10 degrees lower. NBM is showing low probabilities for triple digits across the area Thursday into the weekend, but 90`s are still likely. JB && .AVIATION...Shallow coastal stratus has developed along the North Coast. IFR to periods of LIFR ceilings along with reduced visibilities with mist/fog are expected at the coastal terminals through early Monday. Stratus is expected to scatter out by early Monday afternoon after north to northwest winds push closer to shore. The winds will especially help clear out stratus around CEC. Around Humboldt Bay, stratus may be more reluctant to scatter or lift. VFR conditions are expected inland with some smokey conditions likely for northern Trinity and interior Humboldt counties. && .MARINE...Gale force winds in the northern outer waters will gradually expand southward in coverage into Monday, with gusts exceeding 40 to 45 knots likely in NW PZZ470. As these winds push towards the coast, near- gale to gale gusts are possible nearshore of Point Saint George and Cape Mendocino, especially Monday afternoon. Steep and hazardous seas 9 to 14 feet will likely propagate into the inner waters as well. Steep wind driven seas 12 to 16 feet are expected through Tuesday, especially in the outer waters. High pressure will begin to break down Tuesday afternoon, diminishing hazardous conditions by midweek. && .FIRE WEATHER...Overnight offshore winds remain breezy in Del Norte and northern Humboldt counties. This is keeping RH recoveries poor to moderate in the high elevations, while recoveries are moderate to good in the lower elevations. High pressure moves eastward Tuesday and Wednesday. The marine layer will gradually deepen, improving RH in the near-coastal areas and lowering high temperatures 5-10 degrees. Offshore flow will begin to weaken, as well. Upper-level moisture from the east along with elevated instability does bring a 10-15% chance for isolated dry thunderstorms in northern Trinity County. Moisture and instability decreases by Wednesday into later in the week, along with thunderstorm chances. JB && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... Extreme Heat Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for CAZ102-105-107-108. Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for CAZ106-110- 111-113>115. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ450. Hazardous Seas Warning from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ450. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ455. Gale Warning until 11 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ470. Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for PZZ475. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM PDT Tuesday for PZZ475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png