474
AXPZ20 KNHC 062010
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Mar 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N83W to 02N110W to 04N121W to
00N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 06N
between 100W and 113W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec have diminished below gale
force, with fresh to near gale winds prevailing. Seas in this
region are in the 8-9 ft range. Moderate to locally fresh winds,
and seas of 5-8 ft prevail over the waters off the Baja
California peninsula. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 2-4 ft,
are over the northern Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds
prevail elsewhere. Elsewhere, seas are in the 5-6 ft range over
the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of
California.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec will diminish and become onshore through Sat night. A
gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec is forecast to
commence late Sun afternoon, with gale- force winds, possibly
strong gale, Sun night through Mon night. Strong SW to W winds in
the northern Gulf of California will linger through Fri morning,
increasing to near gale-force late tonight into early Fri. Fresh
to strong NW to N winds are forecast from the central and
southern Gulf to near Cabo Corrientes Sat through Sun. Fresh to
locally strong northerly winds, and large NW swell is expected
off Baja California Norte Friday into Saturday. Marine conditions
should briefly improve and be relatively tranquil Sun night
across the waters away from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, before the
next front which may impact the Baja California and Gulf of
California waters early next week.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are across the Papagayo region,
locally strong in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate N to
NE winds are over the Gulf of Panama and near the Azuero
Peninsula. Winds are mainly light to gentle elsewhere. Seas are
in the 3 to 5 ft range in a mix of SW and NW swell, except 4 to 6
ft seas offshore Ecuador to near the Galapagos Islands.

For the forecast, moderate NE to E winds will pulse to locally
strong in the Papagayo region through early Fri, then again
possibly beginning Mon night. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE
winds will pulse across the Gulf of Panama through Sat, mainly at
night. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail across the remainder of the offshore
waters into the upcoming weekend. Seas may build well offshore
western Guatemala by early next week due to a possible gale-
force gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

A cold front is moving through the Baja California waters,
extending to near 22N118W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and
seas of 8-10 ft prevail over the waters W of the front. High
pressure is building in the wake of the front. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure
within the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds N
of the monsoon trough to near 22N and W of 125W. Seas over these
waters are in the 8-11 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds and
seas of 5 to 8 ft prevail elsewhere north of the monsoon trough
and west of 115W. Winds are moderate or weaker elsewhere, with
seas in the 4 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, the cold front will gradually dissipate
tonight. High pressure will build in the wake of the front, with
fresh to strong trades over the western waters N of the monsoon
trough. Meanwhile, NW swell of 7 to 11 ft will accompany the
fresh to strong wind areas through the remainder of the week,
locally to 12 ft along 140W from 16N to 19N. Mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are forecast across the remainder
of the open waters. Another cold front is forecast to move into
the northern waters during the upcoming weekend, bringing fresh
to strong winds and another set of large NW swell, potentially to
around 14 to 15 ft near 30N Sun into early next week.

$$
AL