149
AXPZ20 KNHC 230235
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Nov 22 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 07N97W to 07N103W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N103W to 10N119W to 07N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 08N to 11N between 118W and 125W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

An area of low pressure is centered just offshore Baja
California Norte. Fresh winds prevail west of the low over the
Baja California Norte waters. Moderate to fresh gap winds are
funneling across the Baja California peninsula into the Gulf of
California. Gentle to moderate winds are over the waters off Baja
California Sur and offshore SW Mexico to the Revillagigedo
Islands. Fresh to strong gap winds are across the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere. NW swell,
with seas of 8-11 ft are spreading across the offshore waters of
Baja California. Elsewhere, seas are mainly in the 4-6 ft range
over the open waters off Mexico. Over the Gulf of California,
seas are in the 2-4 ft range.

For the forecast, the low will shift eastward and dissipate
though Sun. Moderate to fresh winds west of the low will diminish
overnight. Large NW swell ushered in by the low is spreading
across the Baja California Sur waters. Rough seas with this swell
will spread southward to the Revillagigedo Islands through Mon
before starting to subside. Fresh to strong N gap winds can be
expected over the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sun night before
diminishing. Gap winds will increase again over the Gulf of
Tehuantepec the middle of next week. Elsewhere, benign marine
conditions are expected.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh winds are over the Papagayo region, with
moderate winds extending downstream of Papagayo to near 92W.
Light to gentle winds are elsewhere. Seas are in the 3-6 ft
range.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected to
pulse over and downstream of the Papagayo region into early next
week, except pulsing to strong Sun night. Moderate or lighter
winds are forecast elsewhere during the forecast period.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high pressure centered
near 36N136W and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is
supporting moderate to fresh winds N of the ITCZ to 20N and W of
120W. NW swell is propagating across the discussion waters, with
rough seas in excess of 8 ft covering the waters NW of a line
from 06N140W to 23N116W. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 4-7
ft prevail over the remainder of the discussion waters.

Rough seas of 8 ft or greater in NW swell will propagate across
the area, covering much of the discussion waters N of 08N and W
of 110W Sun before starting to slowly subside early next week.
Moderate to fresh trades will continue over the waters N of the
ITCZ to near 20N and W of 110W through the middle of next week.

$$
AL