307
ABPZ20 KNHC 020522
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nolo, located several hundred miles west-northwest of Lihue,
Hawaii, and on Hurricane Rachel, located a couple of hundred miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form late this weekend or
early next week south of the southern coast of Mexico. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next
week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Gibbs