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437
ABPZ20 KNHC 161137
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized showers
and thunderstorms offshore of southern Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance, and a tropical depression could form during the next
few days. The system is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward
or northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci