279
ABPZ20 KNHC 301732
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula is showing some signs of organization,
but it is not yet clear if the system has a well-defined center of
circulation.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
expected to form by early next week while moving westward at around
10 mph across the western part of the eastern Pacific basin. The
system is likely to cross into the central Pacific basin during the
middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low
pressure could form from this system early next week, and it is
likely to become a tropical depression by the middle of next week
while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg