263
ABPZ20 KNHC 071128
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well to the southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Priscilla, located a
couple hundred miles offshore of west-central Mexico.

South of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have increased in coverage in
association with a broad area of low pressure located a short
distance offshore of Guatemala.  Environmental conditions are
expected to gradually become more favorable for development of this
system over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely
to form late this week while moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph, near or parallel to the coast of southern Mexico.  Interests
along the coast of southern Mexico should monitor the progress of
this system.  Regardless of development, this system is likely to
produce periods of heavy rainfall over portions of Guatemala today,
and along the southern coast of Mexico through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen