321
ABPZ20 KNHC 302328
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP93):
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the disturbance located
about 925 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to lack a well-defined low-level circulation.
However, shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is
expected to form during the next day or so while moving westward at
around 10 mph across the western part of the eastern Pacific basin.
The system is likely to cross into the central Pacific basin by the
middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low pressure
is expected to form from this system early next week, and it is
likely to become a tropical depression by the middle of next week
while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci