169
ABPZ20 KNHC 301138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California has increased since yesterday.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while
moving westward at around 10 mph across the western part of the
eastern Pacific basin. The system is likely to cross into the
central Pacific basin during the middle to latter part of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms south of southern Mexico.  An area of low
pressure could form from this system early next week, and it is
likely to become a tropical depression by the middle of next week
while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg