256
FOPZ11 KNHC 040252
PWSEP1

HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025
0300 UTC THU SEP 04 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 135W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 135W       34  4  68(72)   9(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
15N 135W       50  X  22(22)   9(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
15N 135W       64  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  36(39)  52(91)   2(93)   X(93)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  61(71)   1(72)   X(72)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  44(47)   1(48)   X(48)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  27(33)   2(35)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   8(32)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  40(43)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  33(34)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)