578
FOPZ11 KNHC 081452
PWSEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

P ABREOJOS     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LA PAZ         34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LORETO         34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 110W       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA CLARION   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 115W       34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

25N 115W       34  4  14(18)  27(45)   3(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
25N 115W       50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
25N 115W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN