


Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
964 FOPZ11 KNHC 022038 PWSEP1 HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112025 2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 23 21(44) 3(47) 1(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) 15N 130W 50 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 130W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 44(51) 39(90) 2(92) X(92) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 45(60) 1(61) 1(62) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 1(37) X(37) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 45(55) 10(65) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 8(30) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN