688
WTPZ21 KNHC 072033
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
2100 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 110.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 110.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 110.5W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 111.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.9N 114.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.7N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 29.3N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 110.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN