882
WTPZ21 KNHC 080234
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
0300 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.5W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 300SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.5W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 111.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.4N 112.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.6N 113.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.7N 114.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.9N 115.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.3N 115.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.4N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 111.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN