795
WTPZ21 KNHC 081451
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 112.5W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 112.5W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 112.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.6N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.8N 115.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 112.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN