240
WTPZ21 KNHC 050857
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
0900 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 106.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 106.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.6N 107.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.1N 107.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.0N 108.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 110.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.3N 114.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 106.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 05/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH