Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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044
WTPZ21 KNHC 062037
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
2100 UTC MON OCT 06 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 360SE 240SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 107.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.1N 108.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 110.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  40SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.9N 111.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 112.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.1N 114.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 114.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.0N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 108.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 07/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN